Passing
No comparison
- NCAT offense
- —
- GAST defense
- #7
EPA comparison
—
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Fri Sep 4 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NCAT 2.2%97.8% GAST
- Projected margin
- GAST by 32.2
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- GAST 12 to GAST 53
- Win probability
- GAST 97.8%
FinalNCAT 10 · GAST 59model had +32.2, off by 16.8
Current team profiles
North Carolina A&T
Georgia StateWhen North Carolina A&T has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- NCAT offense
- —
- GAST defense
- #73
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NCAT offense
- #114
- GAST defense
- #30
Success rates
39%
#114
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#82
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
0.20
#75
1.20
#60
Explosiveness
—
20%
#15
Havoc
When Georgia State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- NCAT defense
- —
- GAST offense
- #12
EPA comparison
—
0.49
#12
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- NCAT defense
- —
- GAST offense
- #63
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NCAT defense
- #95
- GAST offense
- #41
Success rates
47%
#95
47%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#108
0.24
#32
EPA / play
0.22
#92
1.29
#36
Explosiveness
—
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
North Carolina A&TLBTyrek Brown
35 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.5
- Coverage
- 80.1
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
83.622/1054
DLCadricus Stanley
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 45
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.049/1549
LBKamari Blankumsee
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
76.775/1054
LBTerry Radford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 67.8
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.089/1054
DBDeAndre Nance
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 99.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.7158/1765
DBSteven Davis II
31 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 70.4
- Targets allowed
- 30
- Rec allowed
- 20
- Yards allowed
- 160
- Passer rating allowed
- 102.1
- Missed tackles
- 10
73.5210/1765
Georgia StateQBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.9
- Coverage
- 62.0
- Pressures
- 25
- Pass-rush snaps
- 93
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NCATNorth Carolina A&T
GASTGeorgia State
vs
Offense
67.0
#83 of 125
QB
Quarterback
90.3
#21 of 138
72.4
#59 of 126
RB
Running backs
77.2
#53 of 138
61.7
#122 of 126
WR
Receivers
74.1
#41 of 138
69.5
#36 of 124
TE
Tight ends
64.8
#91 of 138
60.8
#108 of 125
OL
Offensive line
72.2
#33 of 138
Defense
70.8
#65 of 126
DL
Defensive line
72.4
#78 of 138
78.8
#11 of 126
LB
Linebackers
85.7
#2 of 138
70.7
#77 of 126
DB
Secondary
69.8
#101 of 138