AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Fri Sep 4 · 7:00 PM
Away
North Carolina A&T
—
20p
#131Home
Georgia State
0-0 · AVR 26.7
44p
NCAT 5%96% GAST
Spread
GAST -23.6
Total
64
Moneyline
NCAT+2122GAST-2122
Against the market
NCAT +4.9line GAST -28.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Georgia State
TEGrant Hollier
61.340/287
QBCameran Brown
58.277/308
RBDennis Murray Jr.
47.2376/514
WRJaylin Marshall
44.1490/777
WRDerrick Avery Jr.
42.9530/777
SDeuce Walker
42.6961/1427

Projected margin

80% between 5 and 43
-14-7+7+14PKGAST +23.6MKT95% interval: -5 to 5280% interval: 5 to 43+5+43NCAT wins 5%GAST wins 96%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ GAST 42–21 NCATGAST 39–46 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGAST 42–42 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGAST 46–39 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 49–35 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 53–32 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 56–28 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 60–25 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 63–21 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 67–18 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGAST 35–42 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGAST 39–39 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 42–35 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 46–32 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 49–28 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 53–25 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 56–21 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 60–18 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 63–14 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGAST 32–39 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGAST 35–35 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 39–32 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 42–28 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 46–25 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 49–21 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 53–18 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 56–14 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 60–11 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 28–35 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGAST 32–32 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 35–28 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 39–25 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 42–21 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 46–18 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 49–14 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 53–11 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 56–7 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 25–32 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGAST 28–28 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 32–25 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 35–21 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 39–18 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 42–14 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 46–11 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 49–7 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 53–4 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 21–28 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGAST 25–25 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGAST 28–21 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 32–18 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 35–14 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 39–11 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGAST 42–7 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 46–4 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 49–0 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGAST 18–25 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGAST 21–21 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGAST 25–18 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGAST 28–14 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 32–11 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 35–7 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 39–4 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGAST 42–0 NCAT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalNCAT +7GAST +7GAST +21GAST +35GAST +49margin →