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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 2:30 PM ET
#212
Away
UAlbany
3-3
· AVR 35.6
17
17
p
at
#175
Home
Stony Brook
4-2
· AVR 40.9
31
31
p
Forecast win probability
UALB 20.4%
79.7% STBK
Projected margin
STBK by 13.7
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
UALB 8 to STBK 35
Win probability
STBK 79.7%
Current team profiles
UAlbany
Stony Brook
When UAlbany has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
UALB offense
#46
STBK defense
#33
Success rates
45%
#46
42%
#33
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#75
0.14
#77
EPA / play
0.18
#104
0.22
#86
Explosiveness
When Stony Brook has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
UALB defense
#13
STBK offense
#15
Success rates
39%
#13
49%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#34
0.20
#21
EPA / play
0.18
#20
0.22
#41
Explosiveness
Current key players
UAlbany
LB
Dillon Dunathan
38 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Coverage
79.3
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
23
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
81.6
33/1054
RB
Joey Koch
386 yds · 3 TD · 6.2 YPC
77.3
59/631
OL
Joe McMahon
Player detail
Pass blocking
78.5
Run blocking
71.2
Penalties
0
73.7
57/1368
DL
Shawan Lewis
17 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 5.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
103
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
72.4
198/1549
DB
Dana Johnson Jr.
30 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
181
Passer rating allowed
158.3
Missed tackles
0
72.1
268/1765
DB
Victor Holt
27 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
75.4
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
61
Passer rating allowed
68.1
Missed tackles
5
71.8
288/1765
Stony Brook
DL
Khalid Bueno
26 tkl · 11.5 TFL · 7.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.2
Pressures
29
Pass-rush snaps
146
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
90.2
3/1549
DB
Joseph Garcia
49 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
88.4
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
74
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
7
86.2
8/1765
DB
Takai Takahashi
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.5
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
1
81.8
30/1765
RB
CJ Hester
483 yds · 10 TD · 5.5 YPC
78.2
53/631
DB
Ryan Barrett
23 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.2
Coverage
78.1
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
88.1
Missed tackles
4
76.3
102/1765
K
Michael Mannino
3/3 FG · 0%
75.6
32/416
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UALB
UAlbany
STBK
Stony Brook
vs
Offense
65.9
#87
of 125
QB
Quarterback
65.1
#91
of 125
73.0
#55
of 126
RB
Running backs
70.7
#70
of 126
63.8
#113
of 126
WR
Receivers
63.9
#110
of 126
56.2
#113
of 124
TE
Tight ends
61.6
#79
of 124
64.5
#59
of 125
OL
Offensive line
61.7
#101
of 125
Defense
68.4
#94
of 126
DL
Defensive line
73.2
#39
of 126
73.9
#38
of 126
LB
Linebackers
70.7
#69
of 126
68.5
#98
of 126
DB
Secondary
76.9
#8
of 126
Common opponents