CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 2:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UALB 20.4%79.7% STBK
Projected margin
STBK by 13.7
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
UALB 8 to STBK 35
Win probability
STBK 79.7%

Current team profiles

UAlbany
Stony Brook

When UAlbany has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
UALB offense
#46
STBK defense
#33
Success rates
45%
#46
42%
#33
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#75
0.14
#77
EPA / play
0.18
#104
0.22
#86
Explosiveness

When Stony Brook has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
UALB defense
#13
STBK offense
#15
Success rates
39%
#13
49%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#34
0.20
#21
EPA / play
0.18
#20
0.22
#41
Explosiveness

Current key players

UAlbany
LBDillon Dunathan
38 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Coverage
79.3
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
23
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
81.633/1054
RBJoey Koch
386 yds · 3 TD · 6.2 YPC
77.359/631
OLJoe McMahon
Player detail
Pass blocking
78.5
Run blocking
71.2
Penalties
0
73.757/1368
DLShawan Lewis
17 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 5.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
103
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
72.4198/1549
DBDana Johnson Jr.
30 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
181
Passer rating allowed
158.3
Missed tackles
0
72.1268/1765
DBVictor Holt
27 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
75.4
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
61
Passer rating allowed
68.1
Missed tackles
5
71.8288/1765
Stony Brook
DLKhalid Bueno
26 tkl · 11.5 TFL · 7.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.2
Pressures
29
Pass-rush snaps
146
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
90.23/1549
DBJoseph Garcia
49 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
88.4
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
74
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
7
86.28/1765
DBTakai Takahashi
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.5
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
1
81.830/1765
RBCJ Hester
483 yds · 10 TD · 5.5 YPC
78.253/631
DBRyan Barrett
23 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.2
Coverage
78.1
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
88.1
Missed tackles
4
76.3102/1765
KMichael Mannino
3/3 FG · 0%
75.632/416
Position units

Position-unit comparison

UALB
STBK
vs
Offense
65.9
#87 of 125
QB
65.1
#91 of 125
73.0
#55 of 126
RB
70.7
#70 of 126
63.8
#113 of 126
WR
63.9
#110 of 126
56.2
#113 of 124
TE
61.6
#79 of 124
64.5
#59 of 125
OL
61.7
#101 of 125
Defense
68.4
#94 of 126
DL
73.2
#39 of 126
73.9
#38 of 126
LB
70.7
#69 of 126
68.5
#98 of 126
DB
76.9
#8 of 126
Common opponents