CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 5:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SDAK 90.5%9.5% MUR
Projected margin
SDAK by 21.6
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
SDAK 43 to SDAK 1
Win probability
SDAK 90.5%

Current team profiles

South Dakota
Murray State

When South Dakota has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
SDAK offense
#8
MUR defense
#105
Success rates
50%
#8
47%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#5
0.18
#95
EPA / play
0.23
#20
0.21
#81
Explosiveness

When Murray State has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
SDAK defense
#79
MUR offense
#58
Success rates
45%
#79
44%
#58
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#49
0.02
#110
EPA / play
0.20
#57
0.20
#87
Explosiveness

Current key players

South Dakota
QBJackson Proctor
60 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
95.51/370
LBWade Abrams
49 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
85.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
86.011/1054
LBBeau Ryan
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
63.8
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.634/1054
WRAndre Jacobs
— rec · — yds · — TD
79.727/1229
QBAustyn Modrzewski
1313 yds · 18 TD · 5 INT
79.642/370
KBohdie Ing
5/5 FG · 0%
78.511/416
Murray State
KCooper Ford
0 punts · 0.0 avg
80.56/416
RBTyrell Campbell
279 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.032/631
DBDax Pregeant
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
1
76.0111/1765
WRJaxon Potter
21 rec · 170 yds · 2 TD
75.070/1229
LBConlee Crossno
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
73.2
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
73.5134/1054
RBMykel Allen
234 yds · 3 TD · 4.0 YPC
73.4112/631
Position units

Position-unit comparison

SDAK
MUR
vs
Offense
95.5
#1 of 125
QB
61.5
#103 of 125
75.1
#43 of 126
RB
76.7
#26 of 126
75.6
#11 of 126
WR
70.2
#54 of 126
57.9
#106 of 124
TE
60.5
#88 of 124
70.1
#22 of 125
OL
62.0
#95 of 125
Defense
73.5
#37 of 126
DL
71.0
#60 of 126
81.4
#6 of 126
LB
69.8
#80 of 126
72.5
#47 of 126
DB
69.0
#93 of 126
Common opponents