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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 5:00 PM ET
#112
Away
South Dakota
5-2
· AVR 51.7
38
38
p
at
#242
Home
Murray State
1-5
· AVR 31.1
17
17
p
Forecast win probability
SDAK 90.5%
9.5% MUR
Projected margin
SDAK by 21.6
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
SDAK 43 to SDAK 1
Win probability
SDAK 90.5%
Current team profiles
South Dakota
Murray State
When South Dakota has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
SDAK offense
#8
MUR defense
#105
Success rates
50%
#8
47%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#5
0.18
#95
EPA / play
0.23
#20
0.21
#81
Explosiveness
When Murray State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
SDAK defense
#79
MUR offense
#58
Success rates
45%
#79
44%
#58
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#49
0.02
#110
EPA / play
0.20
#57
0.20
#87
Explosiveness
Current key players
South Dakota
QB
Jackson Proctor
60 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
95.5
1/370
LB
Wade Abrams
49 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
85.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
86.0
11/1054
LB
Beau Ryan
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
63.8
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.6
34/1054
WR
Andre Jacobs
— rec · — yds · — TD
79.7
27/1229
QB
Austyn Modrzewski
1313 yds · 18 TD · 5 INT
79.6
42/370
K
Bohdie Ing
5/5 FG · 0%
78.5
11/416
Murray State
K
Cooper Ford
0 punts · 0.0 avg
80.5
6/416
RB
Tyrell Campbell
279 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.0
32/631
DB
Dax Pregeant
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
1
76.0
111/1765
WR
Jaxon Potter
21 rec · 170 yds · 2 TD
75.0
70/1229
LB
Conlee Crossno
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
73.2
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
73.5
134/1054
RB
Mykel Allen
234 yds · 3 TD · 4.0 YPC
73.4
112/631
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SDAK
South Dakota
MUR
Murray State
vs
Offense
95.5
#1
of 125
QB
Quarterback
61.5
#103
of 125
75.1
#43
of 126
RB
Running backs
76.7
#26
of 126
75.6
#11
of 126
WR
Receivers
70.2
#54
of 126
57.9
#106
of 124
TE
Tight ends
60.5
#88
of 124
70.1
#22
of 125
OL
Offensive line
62.0
#95
of 125
Defense
73.5
#37
of 126
DL
Defensive line
71.0
#60
of 126
81.4
#6
of 126
LB
Linebackers
69.8
#80
of 126
72.5
#47
of 126
DB
Secondary
69.0
#93
of 126
Common opponents