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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 2:00 PM ET
#75
Away
South Dakota State
5-1
· AVR 58.6
24
24
p
at
#110
Home
North Dakota
5-2
· AVR 51.9
23
23
p
Forecast win probability
SDST 51.1%
48.9% UND
Projected margin
SDST by 0.5
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
SDST 22 to UND 21
Win probability
SDST 51.1%
Current team profiles
South Dakota State
North Dakota
When South Dakota State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
SDST offense
#10
UND defense
#5
Success rates
49%
#10
38%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#7
-0.01
#6
EPA / play
0.24
#11
0.17
#2
Explosiveness
When North Dakota has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
SDST defense
#10
UND offense
#4
Success rates
39%
#10
52%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#1
0.28
#8
EPA / play
0.17
#3
0.24
#8
Explosiveness
Current key players
South Dakota State
QB
Chase Mason
834 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
81.1
36/370
RB
Ramon McKinney Jr.
104 yds · 2 TD · 9.5 YPC
89.9
6/631
DB
Paul Kim
11 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
89.6
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
45
Passer rating allowed
62.5
Missed tackles
1
87.5
4/1765
OL
John Pica
Player detail
Pass blocking
78.6
Run blocking
80.4
Penalties
1
83.6
4/1368
RB
Josiah Johnson
680 yds · 7 TD · 6.6 YPC
82.6
20/631
OL
Jae'Shaun Thomas
Player detail
Pass blocking
72.9
Run blocking
79.8
Penalties
0
82.5
5/1368
North Dakota
QB
Jerry Kaminski
1474 yds · 19 TD · 2 INT
86.3
14/370
QB
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson
65 yds · 0 TD · 2 INT
84.6
19/370
DL
Braden Mohr
23 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 5.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
80
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
83.1
17/1549
OL
Ayden Teeter
Player detail
Pass blocking
56.7
Run blocking
82.1
Penalties
0
82.3
6/1368
DB
Ben Kamara
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.3
Coverage
80.0
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
54
Passer rating allowed
59.2
Missed tackles
1
79.2
53/1765
TE
Mason South
4 rec · 25 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.2
Run blocking
73.6
Penalties
0
78.6
11/526
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SDST
South Dakota State
UND
North Dakota
vs
Offense
81.1
#32
of 125
QB
Quarterback
86.3
#14
of 125
86.2
#2
of 126
RB
Running backs
76.6
#27
of 126
74.7
#15
of 126
WR
Receivers
70.0
#55
of 126
78.3
#11
of 124
TE
Tight ends
78.6
#10
of 124
77.0
#2
of 125
OL
Offensive line
74.9
#4
of 125
Defense
75.3
#24
of 126
DL
Defensive line
76.6
#17
of 126
73.7
#40
of 126
LB
Linebackers
71.3
#63
of 126
78.3
#4
of 126
DB
Secondary
74.7
#22
of 126
Common opponents