CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SDST 51.1%48.9% UND
Projected margin
SDST by 0.5
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
SDST 22 to UND 21
Win probability
SDST 51.1%

Current team profiles

South Dakota State
North Dakota

When South Dakota State has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
SDST offense
#10
UND defense
#5
Success rates
49%
#10
38%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#7
-0.01
#6
EPA / play
0.24
#11
0.17
#2
Explosiveness

When North Dakota has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
SDST defense
#10
UND offense
#4
Success rates
39%
#10
52%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#1
0.28
#8
EPA / play
0.17
#3
0.24
#8
Explosiveness

Current key players

South Dakota State
QBChase Mason
834 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
81.136/370
RBRamon McKinney Jr.
104 yds · 2 TD · 9.5 YPC
89.96/631
DBPaul Kim
11 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
89.6
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
45
Passer rating allowed
62.5
Missed tackles
1
87.54/1765
OLJohn Pica
Player detail
Pass blocking
78.6
Run blocking
80.4
Penalties
1
83.64/1368
RBJosiah Johnson
680 yds · 7 TD · 6.6 YPC
82.620/631
OLJae'Shaun Thomas
Player detail
Pass blocking
72.9
Run blocking
79.8
Penalties
0
82.55/1368
North Dakota
QBJerry Kaminski
1474 yds · 19 TD · 2 INT
86.314/370
QBJavance Tupou'ata-Johnson
65 yds · 0 TD · 2 INT
84.619/370
DLBraden Mohr
23 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 5.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
80
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
83.117/1549
OLAyden Teeter
Player detail
Pass blocking
56.7
Run blocking
82.1
Penalties
0
82.36/1368
DBBen Kamara
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.3
Coverage
80.0
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
54
Passer rating allowed
59.2
Missed tackles
1
79.253/1765
TEMason South
4 rec · 25 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.2
Run blocking
73.6
Penalties
0
78.611/526
Position units

Position-unit comparison

SDST
UND
vs
Offense
81.1
#32 of 125
QB
86.3
#14 of 125
86.2
#2 of 126
RB
76.6
#27 of 126
74.7
#15 of 126
WR
70.0
#55 of 126
78.3
#11 of 124
TE
78.6
#10 of 124
77.0
#2 of 125
OL
74.9
#4 of 125
Defense
75.3
#24 of 126
DL
76.6
#17 of 126
73.7
#40 of 126
LB
71.3
#63 of 126
78.3
#4 of 126
DB
74.7
#22 of 126
Common opponents