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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 6:00 PM ET
#158
Away
Northern Iowa
3-2
· AVR 43.5
20
20
p
at
#82
Home
Youngstown State
5-2
· AVR 57.6
38
38
p
Forecast win probability
UNI 13.2%
86.8% YSU
Projected margin
YSU by 18.4
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
UNI 3 to YSU 40
Win probability
YSU 86.8%
Current team profiles
Northern Iowa
Youngstown State
When Northern Iowa has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
UNI offense
#12
YSU defense
#62
Success rates
49%
#12
43%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#17
0.12
#68
EPA / play
0.23
#27
0.20
#55
Explosiveness
When Youngstown State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
UNI defense
#95
YSU offense
#2
Success rates
47%
#95
54%
#2
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#58
0.35
#2
EPA / play
0.20
#46
0.27
#1
Explosiveness
Current key players
Northern Iowa
RB
Caleb Kamara
70 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
84.0
14/631
TE
Kai Black
4 rec · 82 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.6
Run blocking
51.8
Penalties
0
83.9
3/526
TE
Brady McCullough
8 rec · 117 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.1
Run blocking
71.2
Penalties
2
82.7
4/526
DB
Josiah Young
4 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
54.0
Coverage
85.1
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
43.1
Missed tackles
2
82.7
25/1765
LB
Jarrett Kies
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.1
Coverage
62.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.8
61/1054
DB
Calvin Jaworski
17 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Coverage
78.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
53
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
3
77.3
87/1765
Youngstown State
QB
Beau Brungard
1435 yds · 14 TD · 4 INT
89.3
8/370
WR
Lynn Wyche-El
32 rec · 420 yds · 5 TD
83.5
12/1229
DL
Ebony Curry Jr.
16 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
114
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
75.8
106/1549
DB
Bryant Holland-Snowden
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
75.6
127/1765
DB
Brandon Chambers Jr.
7 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
74.2
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
9
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
74.2
179/1765
DL
AJ Snyder
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.1
147/1549
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UNI
Northern Iowa
YSU
Youngstown State
vs
Offense
69.7
#74
of 125
QB
Quarterback
89.3
#8
of 125
78.8
#13
of 126
RB
Running backs
70.3
#75
of 126
68.3
#70
of 126
WR
Receivers
73.8
#21
of 126
83.9
#3
of 124
TE
Tight ends
70.5
#30
of 124
62.8
#84
of 125
OL
Offensive line
65.8
#50
of 125
Defense
68.8
#87
of 126
DL
Defensive line
71.4
#51
of 126
73.0
#47
of 126
LB
Linebackers
69.4
#84
of 126
75.4
#17
of 126
DB
Secondary
72.7
#45
of 126
Common opponents