CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:00 AM ET
#209Away
Central Connecticut
2-3 · AVR 36.1
31p
#239Home
Mercyhurst
1-5 · AVR 31.8
27p
Forecast win probability
CCSU 57.8%42.2% MERC
Projected margin
CCSU by 3.2
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
CCSU 24 to MERC 18
Win probability
CCSU 57.8%

Current team profiles

Central Connecticut
Mercyhurst

When Central Connecticut has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
CCSU offense
#23
MERC defense
#119
Success rates
47%
#23
49%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#32
0.20
#104
EPA / play
0.22
#35
0.23
#100
Explosiveness

When Mercyhurst has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
CCSU defense
#106
MERC offense
#73
Success rates
47%
#106
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#121
0.05
#97
EPA / play
0.24
#115
0.20
#87
Explosiveness

Current key players

Mercyhurst
DBBraylon Beckwith
45 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.2
Coverage
73.7
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
74
Passer rating allowed
52.3
Missed tackles
0
80.047/1765
LBCorey Cobb Jr.
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.2
Coverage
71.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.480/1054
TECamden Lewis
12 rec · 112 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.8
Run blocking
55.1
Penalties
1
74.022/526
LBJordan Brown
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.9
Coverage
71.6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.6131/1054
KThomas O'Neill
34 punts · 0.0 avg
72.959/416
LBMaverick Clark
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.7196/1054
Position units

Position-unit comparison

CCSU
MERC
vs
Offense
not rated
QB
49.4
#124 of 125
not rated
RB
67.0
#101 of 126
not rated
WR
63.4
#115 of 126
not rated
TE
74.0
#21 of 124
not rated
OL
62.1
#92 of 125
Defense
not rated
DL
66.3
#109 of 126
not rated
LB
73.9
#39 of 126
not rated
DB
69.0
#92 of 126
Common opponents