CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LIU 0.8%99.2% FIU
Projected margin
FIU by 34.7
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
FIU 14 to FIU 55
Win probability
FIU 99.2%
FinalLIU 3 · FIU 20model had +34.7, off by 17.7

Current team profiles

Long Island University
Florida International

When Long Island University has the ball

Passing

No comparison
LIU offense
—
FIU defense
#14
EPA comparison
—
-0.05
#14
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
LIU offense
—
FIU defense
#29
EPA comparison
—
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
LIU offense
#96
FIU defense
#11
Success rates
41%
#96
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#117
-0.07
#14
EPA / play
0.18
#112
1.14
#28
Explosiveness
—
18%
#31
Havoc

When Florida International has the ball

Passing

No comparison
LIU defense
—
FIU offense
#107
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
LIU defense
—
FIU offense
#129
EPA comparison
—
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
LIU defense
#103
FIU offense
#115
Success rates
47%
#103
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#57
-0.01
#124
EPA / play
0.20
#46
1.13
#116
Explosiveness
—
16%
#98
Havoc

Current key players

Long Island University
WRJosiah Brown
9 rec · 171 yds · 0 TD
77.247/1229
DBFelix Matos
28 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
152.1
Missed tackles
7
74.2182/1765
LBJerome Hayes Jr.
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.3173/1054
DBBraylon Vincent
25 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.4
Coverage
71.7
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
187
Passer rating allowed
86.7
Missed tackles
3
71.6305/1765
LBJack Person
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.5
Coverage
41.2
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
69.0294/1054
LBJackson Barry
37 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
53.4
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
67.5344/1054
Florida International
QBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
76.9
Targets allowed
20
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
66.9
Missed tackles
2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
33.3
Missed tackles
2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob

  • Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo

  • Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LIU
FIU
vs
Offense
65.0
#92 of 125
QB
72.7
#92 of 138
66.5
#105 of 126
RB
74.8
#73 of 138
66.5
#92 of 126
WR
71.2
#72 of 138
60.4
#89 of 124
TE
60.0
#120 of 138
57.6
#120 of 125
OL
62.6
#118 of 138
Defense
60.1
#125 of 126
DL
76.1
#45 of 138
69.6
#82 of 126
LB
75.9
#52 of 138
67.7
#110 of 126
DB
72.6
#63 of 138
Common opponents