CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NORF 0.7%99.3% ODU
Projected margin
ODU by 39.0
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
ODU 19 to ODU 60
Win probability
ODU 99.3%
FinalNORF 10 · ODU 31model had +39.0, off by 18.0

Current team profiles

Norfolk State
Old Dominion

When Norfolk State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
NORF offense
—
ODU defense
#55
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
NORF offense
—
ODU defense
#14
EPA comparison
—
-0.12
#14
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
NORF offense
#51
ODU defense
#22
Success rates
44%
#51
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#43
-0.05
#23
EPA / play
0.22
#29
1.20
#60
Explosiveness
—
18%
#34
Havoc

When Old Dominion has the ball

Passing

No comparison
NORF defense
—
ODU offense
#138
EPA comparison
—
-0.19
#138
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
NORF defense
—
ODU offense
#134
EPA comparison
—
-0.11
#134
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
NORF defense
#42
ODU offense
#138
Success rates
43%
#42
31%
#138
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#19
-0.15
#137
EPA / play
0.20
#42
1.20
#90
Explosiveness
—
25%
#138
Havoc

Current key players

Norfolk State
QBDa'Jean Golmond
683 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
79.246/370
DLQuintin Goins
16 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.3
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
74
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
88.16/1549
LBRontravious Perry
28 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.3
Coverage
77.2
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
79.544/1054
WRShamar Vick
61 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 car
79.231/1229
DLAaron McDaniel
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.755/1549
KMarco Peery
8/10 FG · 0%
77.218/416
Old Dominion
QBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
88.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
36
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.0
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
80.8
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
122
Passer rating allowed
98.4
Missed tackles
4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
47
Passer rating allowed
97.4
Missed tackles
1
73.1274/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

NORF
ODU
vs
Offense
79.2
#39 of 125
QB
57.6
#136 of 138
67.6
#93 of 126
RB
67.3
#133 of 138
72.9
#24 of 126
WR
60.7
#137 of 138
63.5
#68 of 124
TE
67.1
#80 of 138
65.4
#52 of 125
OL
59.7
#132 of 138
Defense
77.8
#11 of 126
DL
69.9
#108 of 138
75.1
#29 of 126
LB
85.2
#4 of 138
68.4
#102 of 126
DB
73.4
#51 of 138
Common opponents