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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 8:00 PM ET
#156
Away
UC Davis
4-2
· AVR 43.7
27
27
p
at
#178
Home
Southern Utah
2-4
· AVR 40.3
28
28
p
Forecast win probability
UCD 47.4%
52.6% SUU
Projected margin
SUU by 1.1
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
UCD 20 to SUU 22
Win probability
SUU 52.6%
Current team profiles
UC Davis
Southern Utah
When UC Davis has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
UCD offense
#11
SUU defense
#48
Success rates
49%
#11
43%
#48
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#12
0.17
#90
EPA / play
0.24
#8
0.24
#111
Explosiveness
When Southern Utah has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
UCD defense
#74
SUU offense
#20
Success rates
45%
#74
47%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#55
0.16
#40
EPA / play
0.21
#79
0.23
#17
Explosiveness
Current key players
UC Davis
QB
Treynor Cleeland
1467 yds · 14 TD · 4 INT
77.9
52/370
WR
Xzavior Guess
6 rec · 144 yds · 2 TD
86.9
4/1229
LB
Porter Connors
46 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.8
Coverage
67.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
86.1
8/1054
WR
Samuel Gbatu Jr.
44 rec · 663 yds · 5 TD
82.5
14/1229
WR
Jackson Fay
1 rec · 47 yds · 0 TD
81.4
18/1229
DB
Hayden John
19 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.1
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
40.2
Missed tackles
4
80.0
46/1765
Southern Utah
DL
Keenan Eck
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.9
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.9
12/1549
TE
Logan Dunfield
4 rec · 49 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.1
Run blocking
63.9
Penalties
1
78.8
10/526
DB
Kaden Williams
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.6
66/1765
K
Jayden Rogers
6/8 FG · 0%
76.6
25/416
LB
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
74.7
109/1054
DB
Parker Vance
46 tkl · 4 PD · 4 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
71.5
Targets allowed
24
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
229
Passer rating allowed
83.5
Missed tackles
7
74.4
172/1765
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UCD
UC Davis
SUU
Southern Utah
vs
Offense
77.9
#42
of 125
QB
Quarterback
68.0
#81
of 125
78.2
#18
of 126
RB
Running backs
68.6
#84
of 126
83.6
#1
of 126
WR
Receivers
67.2
#81
of 126
59.3
#98
of 124
TE
Tight ends
78.8
#9
of 124
70.7
#19
of 125
OL
Offensive line
61.9
#98
of 125
Defense
71.0
#57
of 126
DL
Defensive line
71.2
#54
of 126
76.3
#19
of 126
LB
Linebackers
70.9
#66
of 126
75.4
#18
of 126
DB
Secondary
70.1
#84
of 126
Common opponents