CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UCD 47.4%52.6% SUU
Projected margin
SUU by 1.1
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
UCD 20 to SUU 22
Win probability
SUU 52.6%

Current team profiles

UC Davis
Southern Utah

When UC Davis has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
UCD offense
#11
SUU defense
#48
Success rates
49%
#11
43%
#48
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#12
0.17
#90
EPA / play
0.24
#8
0.24
#111
Explosiveness

When Southern Utah has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
UCD defense
#74
SUU offense
#20
Success rates
45%
#74
47%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#55
0.16
#40
EPA / play
0.21
#79
0.23
#17
Explosiveness

Current key players

UC Davis
QBTreynor Cleeland
1467 yds · 14 TD · 4 INT
77.952/370
WRXzavior Guess
6 rec · 144 yds · 2 TD
86.94/1229
LBPorter Connors
46 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.8
Coverage
67.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
86.18/1054
WRSamuel Gbatu Jr.
44 rec · 663 yds · 5 TD
82.514/1229
WRJackson Fay
1 rec · 47 yds · 0 TD
81.418/1229
DBHayden John
19 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.1
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
40.2
Missed tackles
4
80.046/1765
Southern Utah
DLKeenan Eck
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.9
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.912/1549
TELogan Dunfield
4 rec · 49 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.1
Run blocking
63.9
Penalties
1
78.810/526
DBKaden Williams
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.666/1765
KJayden Rogers
6/8 FG · 0%
76.625/416
LBLincoln Tuioti-Mariner
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
74.7109/1054
DBParker Vance
46 tkl · 4 PD · 4 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
71.5
Targets allowed
24
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
229
Passer rating allowed
83.5
Missed tackles
7
74.4172/1765
Position units

Position-unit comparison

UCD
SUU
vs
Offense
77.9
#42 of 125
QB
68.0
#81 of 125
78.2
#18 of 126
RB
68.6
#84 of 126
83.6
#1 of 126
WR
67.2
#81 of 126
59.3
#98 of 124
TE
78.8
#9 of 124
70.7
#19 of 125
OL
61.9
#98 of 125
Defense
71.0
#57 of 126
DL
71.2
#54 of 126
76.3
#19 of 126
LB
70.9
#66 of 126
75.4
#18 of 126
DB
70.1
#84 of 126
Common opponents