CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GWEB 15.3%84.7% MRSH
Projected margin
MRSH by 18.2
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
GWEB 3 to MRSH 40
Win probability
MRSH 84.7%
FinalGWEB 35 · MRSH 36model had +18.2, off by 17.2

Current team profiles

Gardner-Webb
Marshall

When Gardner-Webb has the ball

Passing

No comparison
GWEB offense
—
MRSH defense
#138
EPA comparison
—
0.50
#138
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
GWEB offense
—
MRSH defense
#112
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
GWEB offense
#88
MRSH defense
#117
Success rates
42%
#88
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#93
0.31
#135
EPA / play
0.20
#69
1.31
#107
Explosiveness
—
13%
#113
Havoc

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

No comparison
GWEB defense
—
MRSH offense
#62
EPA comparison
—
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
GWEB defense
—
MRSH offense
#107
EPA comparison
—
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
GWEB defense
#12
MRSH offense
#64
Success rates
39%
#12
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#16
0.11
#85
EPA / play
0.21
#64
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
—
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Gardner-Webb
QBCole Pennington
1680 yds · 8 TD · 5 INT
73.575/370
DBHunter West
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.1
Coverage
89.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
52.1
Missed tackles
0
90.42/1765
DBSabin McLaughlin
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.5
Coverage
75.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
146.4
Missed tackles
0
78.960/1765
WRKory Jones
33 rec · 539 yds · 2 TD
78.436/1229
DLAJ Mebane
15 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
58.5
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
102
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
73.6161/1549
DBTrenton Bell
20 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.7
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
86.6
Missed tackles
4
73.6208/1765
Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

GWEB
MRSH
vs
Offense
73.5
#56 of 125
QB
72.8
#91 of 138
65.4
#112 of 126
RB
72.7
#101 of 138
70.8
#46 of 126
WR
63.4
#136 of 138
61.2
#82 of 124
TE
65.9
#87 of 138
54.3
#125 of 125
OL
65.2
#93 of 138
Defense
71.2
#53 of 126
DL
75.2
#52 of 138
65.0
#112 of 126
LB
66.2
#129 of 138
77.3
#7 of 126
DB
71.2
#79 of 138
Common opponents