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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 4 · Sat Sep 26
· 3:30 PM ET
#165
Away
Gardner-Webb
1-3
· AVR 41.7
35
35
at
Final
#121
Home
Marshall
2-1
· AVR 51.0
36
36
Forecast win probability
GWEB 15.3%
84.7% MRSH
Projected margin
MRSH by 18.2
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
GWEB 3 to MRSH 40
Win probability
MRSH 84.7%
Final
GWEB 35 · MRSH 36
model had +18.2, off by 17.2
Current team profiles
Gardner-Webb
Marshall
When Gardner-Webb has the ball
Passing
No comparison
GWEB offense
—
MRSH defense
#138
EPA comparison
—
0.50
#138
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
GWEB offense
—
MRSH defense
#112
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
GWEB offense
#88
MRSH defense
#117
Success rates
42%
#88
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#93
0.31
#135
EPA / play
0.20
#69
1.31
#107
Explosiveness
—
13%
#113
Havoc
When Marshall has the ball
Passing
No comparison
GWEB defense
—
MRSH offense
#62
EPA comparison
—
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
GWEB defense
—
MRSH offense
#107
EPA comparison
—
0.01
#107
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
GWEB defense
#12
MRSH offense
#64
Success rates
39%
#12
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#16
0.11
#85
EPA / play
0.21
#64
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
—
17%
#114
Havoc
Current key players
Gardner-Webb
QB
Cole Pennington
1680 yds · 8 TD · 5 INT
73.5
75/370
DB
Hunter West
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.1
Coverage
89.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
52.1
Missed tackles
0
90.4
2/1765
DB
Sabin McLaughlin
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.5
Coverage
75.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
146.4
Missed tackles
0
78.9
60/1765
WR
Kory Jones
33 rec · 539 yds · 2 TD
78.4
36/1229
DL
AJ Mebane
15 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
58.5
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
102
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
73.6
161/1549
DB
Trenton Bell
20 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.7
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
86.6
Missed tackles
4
73.6
208/1765
Marshall
QB
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8
131/729
S
Kendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.7
44/2969
RB
TJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3
145/1044
LB
Brysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4
281/1796
S
Pete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1
371/2969
S
Terrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2
430/2969
Position units
Position-unit comparison
GWEB
Gardner-Webb
MRSH
Marshall
vs
Offense
73.5
#56
of 125
QB
Quarterback
72.8
#91
of 138
65.4
#112
of 126
RB
Running backs
72.7
#101
of 138
70.8
#46
of 126
WR
Receivers
63.4
#136
of 138
61.2
#82
of 124
TE
Tight ends
65.9
#87
of 138
54.3
#125
of 125
OL
Offensive line
65.2
#93
of 138
Defense
71.2
#53
of 126
DL
Defensive line
75.2
#52
of 138
65.0
#112
of 126
LB
Linebackers
66.2
#129
of 138
77.3
#7
of 126
DB
Secondary
71.2
#79
of 138
Common opponents