AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:30 PM
Away
Gardner-Webb
—
19p
#83Home
Marshall
0-0 · AVR 45.8
41p
GWEB 6%94% MRSH
Spread
MRSH -22.4
Total
60
Moneyline
GWEB+1686MRSH-1686
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Marshall
LBJavae Gilmore
81.843/878
CBBoogie Trotter
79.397/1427
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
76.328/308
DBCharles McCartherens
69.6250/1427
WRDe'Andre Tamarez
67.468/777
CBEddie Pleasant III
67.4293/1427

Projected margin

80% between 6 and 39
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKMRSH +22.495% interval: -0.6 to 45.480% interval: 5.7 to 39.2+6+39GWEB wins 6%MRSH wins 94%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ MRSH 42–21 GWEBMRSH 39–46 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMRSH 42–42 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMRSH 46–39 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesMRSH 49–35 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMRSH 53–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesMRSH 56–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMRSH 60–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMRSH 63–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMRSH 67–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMRSH 35–42 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMRSH 39–39 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMRSH 42–35 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMRSH 46–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMRSH 49–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesMRSH 53–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMRSH 56–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMRSH 60–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMRSH 63–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesMRSH 32–39 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesMRSH 35–35 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMRSH 39–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMRSH 42–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMRSH 46–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMRSH 49–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMRSH 53–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMRSH 56–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesMRSH 60–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMRSH 28–35 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesMRSH 32–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMRSH 35–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesMRSH 39–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMRSH 42–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesMRSH 46–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMRSH 49–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMRSH 53–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMRSH 56–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMRSH 25–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesMRSH 28–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMRSH 32–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesMRSH 35–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMRSH 39–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesMRSH 42–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMRSH 46–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesMRSH 49–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMRSH 53–4 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMRSH 21–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesMRSH 25–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMRSH 28–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMRSH 32–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesMRSH 35–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesMRSH 39–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMRSH 42–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMRSH 46–4 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesMRSH 49–0 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMRSH 18–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMRSH 21–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMRSH 25–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMRSH 28–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMRSH 32–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesMRSH 35–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesMRSH 39–4 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMRSH 42–0 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalGWEB +7MRSH +7MRSH +21MRSH +35MRSH +49margin →