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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 3:00 PM ET
#191
Away
Western Illinois
3-3
· AVR 38.8
17
17
p
at
#165
Home
Southeast Missouri State
3-3
· AVR 42.2
27
27
p
Forecast win probability
WIU 30.7%
69.3% SEMO
Projected margin
SEMO by 8.3
Projected total
44
80% outcome range
WIU 13 to SEMO 29
Win probability
SEMO 69.3%
Current team profiles
Western Illinois
Southeast Missouri State
When Western Illinois has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
WIU offense
#91
SEMO defense
#10
Success rates
41%
#91
39%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#65
0.04
#25
EPA / play
0.20
#63
0.19
#27
Explosiveness
When Southeast Missouri State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
WIU defense
#22
SEMO offense
#115
Success rates
40%
#22
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#23
0.04
#98
EPA / play
0.20
#46
0.20
#63
Explosiveness
Current key players
Western Illinois
QB
Tanner Zolnosky
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
85.9
15/370
TE
Jamarion Davis
1 rec · 7 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.3
Run blocking
59.9
Penalties
0
85.3
1/526
LB
Justin Buckner
28 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Coverage
62.3
Pressures
19
Pass-rush snaps
98
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
82.8
25/1054
QB
Gage Sturgill
6 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
80.2
40/370
LB
Nick Reinicke
44 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.7
Coverage
73.7
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
52
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
80.2
42/1054
QB
Kennedy McGill
1227 yds · 9 TD · 2 INT
78.6
49/370
Southeast Missouri State
LB
Matthew McAulay
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
61.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1
54/1054
DB
Cyler Christmas
20 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.6
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
3
76.4
101/1765
DL
Timothy Maxson
16 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.5
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
109
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
75.9
100/1549
LB
KJ McRae
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.1
Coverage
64.0
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.8
93/1054
DB
Nehemiah Scott
23 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Coverage
74.5
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
87.8
Missed tackles
3
73.8
201/1765
LB
LJ Minner Jr.
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Coverage
66.2
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
23
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
73.4
140/1054
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WIU
Western Illinois
SEMO
Southeast Missouri State
vs
Offense
85.9
#15
of 125
QB
Quarterback
59.8
#113
of 125
72.7
#57
of 126
RB
Running backs
67.4
#95
of 126
72.2
#32
of 126
WR
Receivers
66.5
#90
of 126
85.3
#1
of 124
TE
Tight ends
55.5
#118
of 124
61.8
#100
of 125
OL
Offensive line
59.9
#112
of 125
Defense
68.8
#85
of 126
DL
Defensive line
70.8
#64
of 126
78.7
#12
of 126
LB
Linebackers
75.8
#23
of 126
71.4
#63
of 126
DB
Secondary
72.4
#49
of 126
Common opponents