CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MORE 56.8%43.2% DAV
Projected margin
MORE by 2.8
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
MORE 24 to DAV 18
Win probability
MORE 56.8%

Current team profiles

Morehead State
Davidson

When Morehead State has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
MORE offense
#108
DAV defense
#117
Success rates
39%
#108
49%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
-0.09
#126
0.26
#123
EPA / play
0.17
#120
0.26
#128
Explosiveness

When Davidson has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
MORE defense
#128
DAV offense
#111
Success rates
51%
#128
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.34
#128
0.11
#63
EPA / play
0.23
#106
0.19
#93
Explosiveness

Current key players

Morehead State
TEWill Richardson
1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.7
Run blocking
58.1
Penalties
0
79.39/526
RBCraig Cunningham
120 yds · 2 TD · 3.1 YPC
79.044/631
DBZayden Harvey
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.5
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
78.961/1765
OLJackson Parsons
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
72.7
Penalties
0
74.054/1368
DBBennett Hobbs
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
74.4
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
81.3
Missed tackles
0
73.9191/1765
DLMax Bohren
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.2
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.6191/1549
Davidson
WRJacary Lightsey
42 rec · 519 yds · 3 TD
77.149/1229
LBJalen Gist
15 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
72.4169/1054
LBRodney Unnasch
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.5
Coverage
65.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
69.5277/1054
LBDaniel Fernandez
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.4
Coverage
62.4
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
69.2289/1054
WRAJ Adams
28 rec · 317 yds · 2 TD
68.4203/1229
WRAndrew Frazier
17 rec · 193 yds · 0 TD
68.1209/1229
Position units

Position-unit comparison

MORE
DAV
vs
Offense
71.2
#67 of 125
QB
60.2
#109 of 125
75.3
#38 of 126
RB
61.2
#123 of 126
69.2
#62 of 126
WR
71.2
#37 of 126
79.3
#8 of 124
TE
60.0
#95 of 124
63.3
#75 of 125
OL
62.9
#81 of 125
Defense
69.7
#74 of 126
DL
63.9
#122 of 126
70.2
#74 of 126
LB
70.4
#71 of 126
72.2
#54 of 126
DB
65.6
#121 of 126
Common opponents