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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 1:00 PM ET
#265
Away
Morehead State
1-5
· AVR 13.5
27
27
p
at
#266
Home
Davidson
2-5
· AVR 13.1
24
24
p
Forecast win probability
MORE 56.8%
43.2% DAV
Projected margin
MORE by 2.8
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
MORE 24 to DAV 18
Win probability
MORE 56.8%
Current team profiles
Morehead State
Davidson
When Morehead State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
MORE offense
#108
DAV defense
#117
Success rates
39%
#108
49%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
-0.09
#126
0.26
#123
EPA / play
0.17
#120
0.26
#128
Explosiveness
When Davidson has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
MORE defense
#128
DAV offense
#111
Success rates
51%
#128
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.34
#128
0.11
#63
EPA / play
0.23
#106
0.19
#93
Explosiveness
Current key players
Morehead State
TE
Will Richardson
1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.7
Run blocking
58.1
Penalties
0
79.3
9/526
RB
Craig Cunningham
120 yds · 2 TD · 3.1 YPC
79.0
44/631
DB
Zayden Harvey
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.5
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
78.9
61/1765
OL
Jackson Parsons
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
72.7
Penalties
0
74.0
54/1368
DB
Bennett Hobbs
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
74.4
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
81.3
Missed tackles
0
73.9
191/1765
DL
Max Bohren
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.2
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.6
191/1549
Davidson
WR
Jacary Lightsey
42 rec · 519 yds · 3 TD
77.1
49/1229
LB
Jalen Gist
15 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
72.4
169/1054
LB
Rodney Unnasch
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.5
Coverage
65.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
69.5
277/1054
LB
Daniel Fernandez
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.4
Coverage
62.4
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
69.2
289/1054
WR
AJ Adams
28 rec · 317 yds · 2 TD
68.4
203/1229
WR
Andrew Frazier
17 rec · 193 yds · 0 TD
68.1
209/1229
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MORE
Morehead State
DAV
Davidson
vs
Offense
71.2
#67
of 125
QB
Quarterback
60.2
#109
of 125
75.3
#38
of 126
RB
Running backs
61.2
#123
of 126
69.2
#62
of 126
WR
Receivers
71.2
#37
of 126
79.3
#8
of 124
TE
Tight ends
60.0
#95
of 124
63.3
#75
of 125
OL
Offensive line
62.9
#81
of 125
Defense
69.7
#74
of 126
DL
Defensive line
63.9
#122
of 126
70.2
#74
of 126
LB
Linebackers
70.4
#71
of 126
72.2
#54
of 126
DB
Secondary
65.6
#121
of 126
Common opponents