CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SFA 81.3%18.8% NICH
Projected margin
SFA by 14.6
Projected total
45
80% outcome range
SFA 36 to NICH 7
Win probability
SFA 81.3%

Current team profiles

Stephen F. Austin
Nicholls

When Stephen F. Austin has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
SFA offense
#46
NICH defense
#26
Success rates
45%
#46
41%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#26
0.07
#39
EPA / play
0.22
#35
0.19
#34
Explosiveness

When Nicholls has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
SFA defense
#9
NICH offense
#100
Success rates
39%
#9
41%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#5
0.03
#105
EPA / play
0.20
#38
0.19
#100
Explosiveness

Current key players

Stephen F. Austin
QBJT Kitna
95 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
83.723/370
DBDeuce Williams
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
90.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
42.4
Missed tackles
0
90.23/1765
LBSema'J Avery
5 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.9
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.018/1054
DBJamel Acosta-Lewis
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.1
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
30
Passer rating allowed
64.6
Missed tackles
1
84.611/1765
QBGavin Rutherford
1488 yds · 15 TD · 6 INT
82.428/370
LBLowote Jurkin
15 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.6
Coverage
54.5
Pressures
20
Pass-rush snaps
142
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
81.832/1054
Nicholls
LBCharlie Diedrich
9 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
64.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.172/1054
LBTrent Santos
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.0
Coverage
62.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.579/1054
WRJordan Smith
28 rec · 366 yds · 3 TD
75.168/1229
DBJhamal Shelby Jr.
15 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
130
Passer rating allowed
71.1
Missed tackles
0
75.1139/1765
DBKristian Dillard
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.1
Coverage
76.7
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
74.7160/1765
KJoshua Bellanger
0 punts · 0.0 avg
74.443/416
Position units

Position-unit comparison

SFA
NICH
vs
Offense
83.7
#22 of 125
QB
66.0
#86 of 125
75.8
#32 of 126
RB
66.7
#104 of 126
72.6
#29 of 126
WR
69.0
#64 of 126
66.8
#49 of 124
TE
68.5
#39 of 124
71.6
#17 of 125
OL
66.1
#46 of 125
Defense
77.5
#13 of 126
DL
64.9
#119 of 126
81.5
#5 of 126
LB
74.6
#34 of 126
79.1
#1 of 126
DB
72.4
#48 of 126
Common opponents