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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 4:00 PM ET
#105
Away
Stephen F. Austin
6-0
· AVR 53.2
31
31
p
at
#251
Home
Nicholls
2-4
· AVR 29.5
17
17
p
Forecast win probability
SFA 81.3%
18.8% NICH
Projected margin
SFA by 14.6
Projected total
45
80% outcome range
SFA 36 to NICH 7
Win probability
SFA 81.3%
Current team profiles
Stephen F. Austin
Nicholls
When Stephen F. Austin has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
SFA offense
#46
NICH defense
#26
Success rates
45%
#46
41%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#26
0.07
#39
EPA / play
0.22
#35
0.19
#34
Explosiveness
When Nicholls has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
SFA defense
#9
NICH offense
#100
Success rates
39%
#9
41%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#5
0.03
#105
EPA / play
0.20
#38
0.19
#100
Explosiveness
Current key players
Stephen F. Austin
QB
JT Kitna
95 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
83.7
23/370
DB
Deuce Williams
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
90.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
42.4
Missed tackles
0
90.2
3/1765
LB
Sema'J Avery
5 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.9
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.0
18/1054
DB
Jamel Acosta-Lewis
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.1
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
30
Passer rating allowed
64.6
Missed tackles
1
84.6
11/1765
QB
Gavin Rutherford
1488 yds · 15 TD · 6 INT
82.4
28/370
LB
Lowote Jurkin
15 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.6
Coverage
54.5
Pressures
20
Pass-rush snaps
142
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
81.8
32/1054
Nicholls
LB
Charlie Diedrich
9 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
64.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.1
72/1054
LB
Trent Santos
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.0
Coverage
62.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.5
79/1054
WR
Jordan Smith
28 rec · 366 yds · 3 TD
75.1
68/1229
DB
Jhamal Shelby Jr.
15 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
130
Passer rating allowed
71.1
Missed tackles
0
75.1
139/1765
DB
Kristian Dillard
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.1
Coverage
76.7
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
74.7
160/1765
K
Joshua Bellanger
0 punts · 0.0 avg
74.4
43/416
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SFA
Stephen F. Austin
NICH
Nicholls
vs
Offense
83.7
#22
of 125
QB
Quarterback
66.0
#86
of 125
75.8
#32
of 126
RB
Running backs
66.7
#104
of 126
72.6
#29
of 126
WR
Receivers
69.0
#64
of 126
66.8
#49
of 124
TE
Tight ends
68.5
#39
of 124
71.6
#17
of 125
OL
Offensive line
66.1
#46
of 125
Defense
77.5
#13
of 126
DL
Defensive line
64.9
#119
of 126
81.5
#5
of 126
LB
Linebackers
74.6
#34
of 126
79.1
#1
of 126
DB
Secondary
72.4
#48
of 126
Common opponents