AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 8:30 PM
Away
SE Louisiana
—
24p
#132Home
UL Monroe
0-0 · AVR 26.4
31p
SELA 29%71% ULM
Spread
ULM -7.7
Total
55
Moneyline
SELA+242ULM-242
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
UL Monroe
LBNoah Flemmings
86.119/878
LBMarcus Ross
74.9106/878
LBJaeden Calender
67.4188/878
TEBryce Anderson
61.046/287
DBJabari Tiller
57.9535/1427
WRJP Coulter
48.1373/777

Projected margin

80% between -9 and 24
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKULM +7.795% interval: -15.3 to 30.780% interval: -9 to 24.4-9+24SELA wins 29%ULM wins 71%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ ULM 32–25 SELAULM 28–49 SELA neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesULM 32–46 SELA neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesULM 35–42 SELA neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesULM 39–39 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesULM 42–35 SELA neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesULM 46–32 SELA neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesULM 49–28 SELA neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesULM 53–25 SELA neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesULM 56–21 SELA neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesULM 25–46 SELA neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesULM 28–42 SELA neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesULM 32–39 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesULM 35–35 SELA neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesULM 39–32 SELA neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesULM 42–28 SELA neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesULM 46–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesULM 49–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesULM 53–18 SELA neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesULM 21–42 SELA neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesULM 25–39 SELA neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesULM 28–35 SELA neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesULM 32–32 SELA neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesULM 35–28 SELA neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesULM 39–25 SELA neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesULM 42–21 SELA neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesULM 46–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesULM 49–14 SELA neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesULM 18–39 SELA neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesULM 21–35 SELA neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesULM 25–32 SELA neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesULM 28–28 SELA neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesULM 32–25 SELA neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesULM 35–21 SELA neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesULM 39–18 SELA neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesULM 42–14 SELA neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesULM 46–11 SELA neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesULM 14–35 SELA neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesULM 18–32 SELA neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesULM 21–28 SELA neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesULM 25–25 SELA neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesULM 28–21 SELA neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesULM 32–18 SELA neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesULM 35–14 SELA neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesULM 39–11 SELA neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesULM 42–7 SELA neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesULM 11–32 SELA neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesULM 14–28 SELA neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesULM 18–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesULM 21–21 SELA neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesULM 25–18 SELA neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesULM 28–14 SELA neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesULM 32–11 SELA neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesULM 35–7 SELA neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesULM 39–4 SELA neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesULM 7–28 SELA neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesULM 11–25 SELA neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesULM 14–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesULM 18–18 SELA neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesULM 21–14 SELA neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesULM 25–11 SELA neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesULM 28–7 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesULM 32–4 SELA neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesULM 35–0 SELA neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomes77706356494235totalSELA +21SELA +7ULM +7ULM +21ULM +35margin →