CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 4:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SELA 22.3%77.7% ULM
Projected margin
ULM by 11.7
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
SELA 10 to ULM 32
Win probability
ULM 77.7%
FinalSELA 38 · ULM 35model had +11.7, off by 14.7

Current team profiles

SE Louisiana
UL Monroe

When SE Louisiana has the ball

Passing

No comparison
SELA offense
—
ULM defense
#132
EPA comparison
—
0.45
#132
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
SELA offense
—
ULM defense
#136
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#136
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
SELA offense
#38
ULM defense
#136
Success rates
45%
#38
51%
#136
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#34
0.32
#137
EPA / play
0.22
#39
1.24
#84
Explosiveness
—
11%
#133
Havoc

When UL Monroe has the ball

Passing

No comparison
SELA defense
—
ULM offense
#111
EPA comparison
—
0.08
#111
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
SELA defense
—
ULM offense
#100
EPA comparison
—
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
SELA defense
#83
ULM offense
#88
Success rates
45%
#83
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#59
0.00
#121
EPA / play
0.20
#38
1.16
#102
Explosiveness
—
17%
#120
Havoc

Current key players

SE Louisiana
QBIssac Mooring III
22 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
82.129/370
DBKenneth Ford
30 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.3
Coverage
78.1
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
29
Passer rating allowed
86.8
Missed tackles
4
80.145/1765
RBDeantre Jackson
219 yds · 0 TD · 6.3 YPC
79.737/631
WRDkhai Joseph
21 rec · 248 yds · 2 TD
75.265/1229
WRDesmen Jefferson
5 rec · 75 yds · 0 TD
75.267/1229
LBTrace Carter
37 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
65.1
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
74.6111/1054
UL Monroe
QBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
78.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.0
Coverage
67.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
70.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
35
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03

    Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01

    Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SELA
ULM
vs
Offense
82.1
#26 of 125
QB
70.1
#99 of 138
73.2
#54 of 126
RB
73.6
#91 of 138
74.1
#19 of 126
WR
69.2
#92 of 138
64.8
#63 of 124
TE
60.2
#118 of 138
62.9
#79 of 125
OL
64.2
#103 of 138
Defense
69.2
#79 of 126
DL
70.7
#96 of 138
72.0
#53 of 126
LB
71.7
#91 of 138
71.9
#57 of 126
DB
63.4
#137 of 138
Common opponents