CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ALST 80.9%19.1% UAPB
Projected margin
ALST by 14.4
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
ALST 36 to UAPB 7
Win probability
ALST 80.9%

Current team profiles

Alabama State
Arkansas-Pine Bluff

When Alabama State has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
ALST offense
#62
UAPB defense
#113
Success rates
44%
#62
48%
#113
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#35
0.20
#106
EPA / play
0.21
#56
0.23
#109
Explosiveness

When Arkansas-Pine Bluff has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
ALST defense
#55
UAPB offense
#28
Success rates
43%
#55
46%
#28
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#21
0.18
#28
EPA / play
0.19
#24
0.22
#32
Explosiveness

Current key players

Alabama State
RBJareese Howard
116 yds · 3 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.045/631
DLKordell Steele
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.950/1549
DLMyles Richardson
8 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
33
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.559/1549
DLEldridge Shelton
7 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
53
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
77.772/1549
OLMekhi Blue
Player detail
Pass blocking
84.4
Run blocking
71.5
Penalties
0
76.925/1368
DLAjani Mason
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.392/1549
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
DBMichael Henderson
28 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.5
Coverage
86.8
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
15
Yards allowed
170
Passer rating allowed
102.5
Missed tackles
5
83.918/1765
RBZa'Marion Webber
303 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
82.421/631
RBJalen Williams
200 yds · 1 TD · 12.5 YPC
81.725/631
LBMohammed Kelleh
20 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.8
Coverage
82.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
80.241/1054
DBRaylen Spratt
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
72.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
75.0
Missed tackles
2
75.2138/1765
KTrey Glymph
5/5 FG · 0%
74.938/416
Position units

Position-unit comparison

ALST
UAPB
vs
Offense
68.2
#79 of 125
QB
70.8
#70 of 125
74.0
#48 of 126
RB
82.1
#6 of 126
69.0
#65 of 126
WR
70.4
#52 of 126
59.2
#99 of 124
TE
54.0
#120 of 124
62.9
#83 of 125
OL
66.0
#49 of 125
Defense
77.9
#10 of 126
DL
68.6
#92 of 126
68.1
#95 of 126
LB
72.0
#52 of 126
71.8
#59 of 126
DB
73.3
#38 of 126
Common opponents