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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 3:00 PM ET
#206
Away
Alabama State
3-3
· AVR 36.4
34
34
p
at
#223
Home
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
3-2
· AVR 34.2
20
20
p
Forecast win probability
ALST 80.9%
19.1% UAPB
Projected margin
ALST by 14.4
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
ALST 36 to UAPB 7
Win probability
ALST 80.9%
Current team profiles
Alabama State
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
When Alabama State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
ALST offense
#62
UAPB defense
#113
Success rates
44%
#62
48%
#113
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#35
0.20
#106
EPA / play
0.21
#56
0.23
#109
Explosiveness
When Arkansas-Pine Bluff has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
ALST defense
#55
UAPB offense
#28
Success rates
43%
#55
46%
#28
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#21
0.18
#28
EPA / play
0.19
#24
0.22
#32
Explosiveness
Current key players
Alabama State
RB
Jareese Howard
116 yds · 3 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.0
45/631
DL
Kordell Steele
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.9
50/1549
DL
Myles Richardson
8 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
33
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.5
59/1549
DL
Eldridge Shelton
7 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
53
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
77.7
72/1549
OL
Mekhi Blue
Player detail
Pass blocking
84.4
Run blocking
71.5
Penalties
0
76.9
25/1368
DL
Ajani Mason
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.3
92/1549
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
DB
Michael Henderson
28 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.5
Coverage
86.8
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
15
Yards allowed
170
Passer rating allowed
102.5
Missed tackles
5
83.9
18/1765
RB
Za'Marion Webber
303 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
82.4
21/631
RB
Jalen Williams
200 yds · 1 TD · 12.5 YPC
81.7
25/631
LB
Mohammed Kelleh
20 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.8
Coverage
82.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
80.2
41/1054
DB
Raylen Spratt
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
72.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
75.0
Missed tackles
2
75.2
138/1765
K
Trey Glymph
5/5 FG · 0%
74.9
38/416
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ALST
Alabama State
UAPB
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
vs
Offense
68.2
#79
of 125
QB
Quarterback
70.8
#70
of 125
74.0
#48
of 126
RB
Running backs
82.1
#6
of 126
69.0
#65
of 126
WR
Receivers
70.4
#52
of 126
59.2
#99
of 124
TE
Tight ends
54.0
#120
of 124
62.9
#83
of 125
OL
Offensive line
66.0
#49
of 125
Defense
77.9
#10
of 126
DL
Defensive line
68.6
#92
of 126
68.1
#95
of 126
LB
Linebackers
72.0
#52
of 126
71.8
#59
of 126
DB
Secondary
73.3
#38
of 126
Common opponents