AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 5:00 PM
Away
Alcorn State
—
10p
#93Home
Southern Miss
0-0 · AVR 42.2
40p
ALCN 2%98% USM
Spread
USM -29.6
Total
51
Moneyline
ALCN—USM—
Against the market
USM +8.6line USM -21.0

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Southern Miss
CBIshmael Ibraheem
95.94/1427
DBKolby Peavy
72.4184/1427
LBMelvin Spriggs
70.3140/878
DBCannon McClain
64.0385/1427
LBMathis Haygood
60.8270/878
SMaLik Caswell
60.1479/1427

Projected margin

80% between 10 and 48
-14-7+7+14PKUSM +29.6MKT95% interval: 1 to 5780% interval: 10 to 48+10+48ALCN wins 2%USM wins 98%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ USM 39–11 ALCNUSM 35–35 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSM 39–32 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSM 42–28 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSM 46–25 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 49–21 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 53–18 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 56–14 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSM 60–11 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSM 63–7 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSM 32–32 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSM 35–28 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSM 39–25 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSM 42–21 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 46–18 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 49–14 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 53–11 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 56–7 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSM 60–4 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSM 28–28 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSM 32–25 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSM 35–21 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 39–18 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 42–14 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 46–11 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 49–7 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 53–4 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSM 56–0 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSM 25–25 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSM 28–21 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSM 32–18 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 35–14 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 39–11 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 42–7 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 46–4 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 49–0 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)USM 21–21 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSM 25–18 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSM 28–14 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 32–11 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 35–7 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 39–4 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 42–0 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)USM 18–18 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSM 21–14 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSM 25–11 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSM 28–7 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSM 32–4 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesUSM 35–0 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)USM 14–14 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSM 18–11 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSM 21–7 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSM 25–4 ALCN neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSM 28–0 ALCN neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalPKUSM +14USM +28USM +42USM +56margin →