CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MER 88.8%11.2% SAM
Projected margin
MER by 20.1
Projected total
44
80% outcome range
MER 41 to SAM 1
Win probability
MER 88.8%

Current team profiles

Mercer
Samford

When Mercer has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
MER offense
#41
SAM defense
#55
Success rates
45%
#41
43%
#55
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#16
0.15
#83
EPA / play
0.21
#45
0.21
#64
Explosiveness

When Samford has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
MER defense
#17
SAM offense
#120
Success rates
40%
#17
38%
#120
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#9
0.03
#107
EPA / play
0.18
#8
0.18
#103
Explosiveness

Current key players

Mercer
QBJP Pickles
229 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
87.112/370
DBCameron Goggins
12 tkl · 2 PD · 4 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
89.7
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
1.3
Missed tackles
1
84.514/1765
DLEan Johnson-Kelley
16 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.118/1549
DLMarquis Williams
13 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
58
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.230/1549
QBJaylen King
831 yds · 6 TD · 5 INT
79.641/370
WRBrayden Smith
30 rec · 468 yds · 2 TD
79.230/1229
Samford
QBCoulter Cleland
40 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
81.534/370
LBWalker Turner
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
79.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.82/1054
LBBrandon Franklin
15 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.8
Coverage
67.7
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
81.036/1054
DBLawson Estes
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
85.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
80.243/1765
LBSpencer Conn
35 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
63.2
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
77.171/1054
RBEmerson Russell
92 yds · 1 TD · 5.1 YPC
75.480/631
Position units

Position-unit comparison

MER
SAM
vs
Offense
87.1
#12 of 125
QB
81.5
#30 of 125
75.3
#39 of 126
RB
70.7
#72 of 126
72.6
#28 of 126
WR
70.4
#51 of 126
70.8
#29 of 124
TE
60.1
#92 of 124
67.1
#38 of 125
OL
63.6
#70 of 125
Defense
78.2
#9 of 126
DL
65.1
#117 of 126
75.4
#26 of 126
LB
83.0
#2 of 126
73.6
#35 of 126
DB
74.7
#23 of 126
Common opponents