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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 7:00 PM ET
#151
Away
Mercer
5-2
· AVR 45.0
31
31
p
at
#222
Home
Samford
1-5
· AVR 34.5
10
10
p
Forecast win probability
MER 88.8%
11.2% SAM
Projected margin
MER by 20.1
Projected total
44
80% outcome range
MER 41 to SAM 1
Win probability
MER 88.8%
Current team profiles
Mercer
Samford
When Mercer has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
MER offense
#41
SAM defense
#55
Success rates
45%
#41
43%
#55
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#16
0.15
#83
EPA / play
0.21
#45
0.21
#64
Explosiveness
When Samford has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
MER defense
#17
SAM offense
#120
Success rates
40%
#17
38%
#120
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#9
0.03
#107
EPA / play
0.18
#8
0.18
#103
Explosiveness
Current key players
Mercer
QB
JP Pickles
229 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
87.1
12/370
DB
Cameron Goggins
12 tkl · 2 PD · 4 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
89.7
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
1.3
Missed tackles
1
84.5
14/1765
DL
Ean Johnson-Kelley
16 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.1
18/1549
DL
Marquis Williams
13 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
58
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.2
30/1549
QB
Jaylen King
831 yds · 6 TD · 5 INT
79.6
41/370
WR
Brayden Smith
30 rec · 468 yds · 2 TD
79.2
30/1229
Samford
QB
Coulter Cleland
40 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
81.5
34/370
LB
Walker Turner
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
79.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.8
2/1054
LB
Brandon Franklin
15 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.8
Coverage
67.7
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
81.0
36/1054
DB
Lawson Estes
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
85.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
80.2
43/1765
LB
Spencer Conn
35 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
63.2
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
77.1
71/1054
RB
Emerson Russell
92 yds · 1 TD · 5.1 YPC
75.4
80/631
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MER
Mercer
SAM
Samford
vs
Offense
87.1
#12
of 125
QB
Quarterback
81.5
#30
of 125
75.3
#39
of 126
RB
Running backs
70.7
#72
of 126
72.6
#28
of 126
WR
Receivers
70.4
#51
of 126
70.8
#29
of 124
TE
Tight ends
60.1
#92
of 124
67.1
#38
of 125
OL
Offensive line
63.6
#70
of 125
Defense
78.2
#9
of 126
DL
Defensive line
65.1
#117
of 126
75.4
#26
of 126
LB
Linebackers
83.0
#2
of 126
73.6
#35
of 126
DB
Secondary
74.7
#23
of 126
Common opponents