CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NWST 0.3%99.7% LT
Projected margin
LT by 44.7
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
LT 24 to LT 65
Win probability
LT 99.7%
FinalNWST 6 · LT 80model had +44.7, off by 29.3

Current team profiles

Northwestern State
Louisiana Tech

When Northwestern State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
NWST offense
—
LT defense
#41
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
NWST offense
—
LT defense
#93
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
NWST offense
#113
LT defense
#45
Success rates
39%
#113
38%
#45
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#121
0.05
#63
EPA / play
0.18
#115
1.38
#123
Explosiveness
—
21%
#9
Havoc

When Louisiana Tech has the ball

Passing

No comparison
NWST defense
—
LT offense
#47
EPA comparison
—
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
NWST defense
—
LT offense
#105
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#105
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
NWST defense
#123
LT offense
#100
Success rates
49%
#123
41%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#126
0.12
#83
EPA / play
0.25
#122
1.40
#6
Explosiveness
—
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

Northwestern State
DLMikel Hines
18 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
67
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
82.325/1549
DBJa'Marion Bonner
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.5
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
77.684/1765
DLKemarion Ivory
12 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.0149/1549
KPayne Williams III
5/7 FG · 0%
73.948/416
DLGeoffrey Ojeh
16 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
63
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.9153/1549
DLTyler Lewis
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
46
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.8231/1549
Louisiana Tech
QBTrey Kukuk
468 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
79.475/729
TEJoshua Brantley
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
60.0
Penalties
0
83.516/1017
RBDylone Brooks
169 yds · 2 TD · 10.6 YPC
81.065/1044
LBKolbe Fields
30 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
81.067/1796
LBZander Hayes
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.689/1796
DBDamien Richard II
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.373/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Dane Benedix · WRout · 2026-10-08

    Benedix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Trey Kukuk · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kukuk is battling with an ankle injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaden Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NWST
LT
vs
Offense
63.2
#98 of 125
QB
79.4
#59 of 138
68.7
#83 of 126
RB
73.7
#88 of 138
61.7
#121 of 126
WR
70.4
#76 of 138
67.2
#48 of 124
TE
83.5
#16 of 138
62.6
#87 of 125
OL
62.4
#120 of 138
Defense
75.5
#23 of 126
DL
67.6
#128 of 138
64.6
#116 of 126
LB
78.9
#26 of 138
68.2
#105 of 126
DB
72.6
#64 of 138
Common opponents