CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ARMY 53.1%46.9% LT
Projected margin
ARMY by 1.3
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
ARMY 21 to LT 17
Win probability
ARMY 53.1%
FinalARMY 29 · LT 31model had -1.3, off by 3.3

Current team profiles

Army
Louisiana Tech

When Army has the ball

Passing

LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#88
LT defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#1
LT defense
#93
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
0.10
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#5
LT defense
#45
Success rates
53%
#5
38%
#45
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
0.05
#63
EPA / play
1.04
#135
1.38
#123
Explosiveness
8%
#4
21%
#9
Havoc

When Louisiana Tech has the ball

Passing

LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#98
LT offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#122
LT offense
#105
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.02
#105
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARMY defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#92
LT offense
#100
Success rates
42%
#92
41%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#113
0.12
#83
EPA / play
1.38
#124
1.40
#6
Explosiveness
13%
#111
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

Army
QBEthan Washington
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
80.369/729
WRZach Mundell
159 rush yds · 3 TD · 11 car
85.922/2069
LBKai Woolfolk
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.6
Coverage
62.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.479/1796
WRSamari Howard
293 rush yds · 1 TD · 27 car
78.369/2069
RBCarson Smith
100 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.6139/1044
LBRyan Wells
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
61.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.9222/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Bryson Luter · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lutur is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Anderson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Anderson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Tulane on Saturday.

  • Godspower Nwawuihe · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nwawuihe is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Parker Poloskey · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Poloskey is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Ronan Boyle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boyle is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Mott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Mott is managing with a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Noah Dolbin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Dolbin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

Louisiana Tech
QBTrey Kukuk
468 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
79.475/729
TEJoshua Brantley
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
60.0
Penalties
0
83.516/1017
RBDylone Brooks
169 yds · 2 TD · 10.6 YPC
81.065/1044
LBKolbe Fields
30 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
81.067/1796
LBZander Hayes
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.689/1796
DBDamien Richard II
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.373/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Dane Benedix · WRout · 2026-10-08

    Benedix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Trey Kukuk · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kukuk is battling with an ankle injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaden Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ARMY
LT
vs
Offense
80.3
#55 of 138
QB
79.4
#59 of 138
74.4
#79 of 138
RB
73.7
#88 of 138
80.5
#10 of 138
WR
70.4
#76 of 138
67.1
#81 of 138
TE
83.5
#16 of 138
82.0
#1 of 138
OL
62.4
#120 of 138
Defense
69.7
#110 of 138
DL
67.6
#128 of 138
73.4
#76 of 138
LB
78.9
#26 of 138
68.9
#113 of 138
DB
72.6
#64 of 138
Common opponents