CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 11:30 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CCU 32.2%67.8% DEL
Projected margin
DEL by 7.2
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
CCU 13 to DEL 28
Win probability
DEL 67.8%
FinalCCU 14 · DEL 22model had +7.2, off by 0.8

Current team profiles

Coastal Carolina
Delaware

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#78
DEL defense
#89
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#72
DEL defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#111
DEL defense
#67
Success rates
39%
#111
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#82
0.09
#84
EPA / play
1.33
#24
1.28
#97
Explosiveness
19%
#130
18%
#36
Havoc

When Delaware has the ball

Passing

DEL offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#112
DEL offense
#101
EPA comparison
0.31
#112
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#73
DEL offense
#110
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.00
#110
Rush EPA

Drive success

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#114
DEL offense
#124
Success rates
45%
#114
38%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#89
0.00
#123
EPA / play
1.10
#23
1.26
#48
Explosiveness
16%
#68
21%
#136
Havoc

Current key players

Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

Delaware
QBNick Minicucci
838 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
66.4200/729
LBJalen Bell
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
76.7
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.971/1796
WRSean Wilson
21 rec · 304 yds · 3 TD
76.4104/2069
RBKaderris Roberts
86 yds · 1 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.8155/1044
SNoah Jefferson
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
69.9
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
1
73.0277/2969
LBBlake Matthews
29 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
61.8
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
54
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
71.4311/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Nick Minicucci · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Minicucci is hampered by a leg injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against Liberty on Friday, October 2nd.

  • Greg Spiller · RBout · 2026-09-13

    Spiller is managing with an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Brandon Rehmann · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Rehmann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

  • Ty Salazer · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Salazer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CCU
DEL
vs
Offense
75.2
#82 of 138
QB
66.4
#115 of 138
71.1
#111 of 138
RB
72.7
#102 of 138
73.4
#46 of 138
WR
72.1
#58 of 138
60.3
#117 of 138
TE
68.8
#72 of 138
67.2
#76 of 138
OL
64.3
#101 of 138
Defense
71.9
#88 of 138
DL
67.8
#125 of 138
68.4
#120 of 138
LB
74.4
#66 of 138
75.8
#25 of 138
DB
69.8
#103 of 138
Common opponents