CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET
#114Away
Georgia Southern
1-3 · AVR 51.8
31
Final
#128Home
Coastal Carolina
1-3 · AVR 49.7
24
Forecast win probability
GASO 54.0%46.0% CCU
Projected margin
GASO by 2.3
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
GASO 24 to CCU 19
Win probability
GASO 54.0%
FinalGASO 31 · CCU 24model had -2.3, off by 4.7

Current team profiles

Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina

When Georgia Southern has the ball

Passing

GASO offense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO offense
#47
CCU defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.31
#112
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO offense
#107
CCU defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

GASO offense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO offense
#75
CCU defense
#114
Success rates
43%
#75
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#75
0.11
#89
EPA / play
1.22
#81
1.10
#23
Explosiveness
17%
#105
16%
#68
Havoc

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO defense
#102
CCU offense
#78
EPA comparison
0.26
#102
0.19
#78
Pass EPA

Rushing

GASO defense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO defense
#52
CCU offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

GASO defense
Higher-ranked profile
GASO defense
#52
CCU offense
#111
Success rates
39%
#52
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#81
0.12
#82
EPA / play
1.15
#32
1.33
#24
Explosiveness
17%
#52
19%
#130
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia Southern
QBWeston Bryan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.782/729
LBMJ Stroud
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.4
Coverage
65.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
92
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
79.787/1796
DBJakyri Jones
29 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.6
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
49
Passer rating allowed
69.1
Missed tackles
4
76.5145/2969
RBTaeo Todd
48 yds · 0 TD · 2.7 YPC
74.1192/1044
DBChace Calicut
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
88.7
Coverage
64.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
62.5
Missed tackles
1
73.2268/2969
WRCam King
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
72.9172/2069
Availability reports · 1
  • Ashton Hollins · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Hollins is liad up with a shoulder injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

GASO
CCU
vs
Offense
78.7
#63 of 138
QB
75.2
#82 of 138
73.2
#95 of 138
RB
71.1
#111 of 138
71.3
#70 of 138
WR
73.4
#46 of 138
66.0
#85 of 138
TE
60.3
#117 of 138
67.9
#68 of 138
OL
67.2
#76 of 138
Defense
67.9
#123 of 138
DL
71.9
#88 of 138
73.5
#75 of 138
LB
68.4
#120 of 138
71.7
#73 of 138
DB
75.8
#25 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia Southern
opponent
Coastal Carolina
H-3.0
JMU#51
-23.9A
H+2.6
APP#100
-3.0H
A-4.5
GAST#81
-10.1A
H+3.5
MRSH#124
+6.0A
A-1.8
ODU#130
-2.1H