CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET
#128Away
Coastal Carolina
1-4 · AVR 48.9
27
Final
#120Home
Marshall
3-2 · AVR 50.4
21
Forecast win probability
CCU 43.6%56.4% MRSH
Projected margin
MRSH by 2.2
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
CCU 18 to MRSH 23
Win probability
MRSH 56.4%
FinalCCU 27 · MRSH 21model had +2.2, off by 8.2

Current team profiles

Coastal Carolina
Marshall

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#78
MRSH defense
#138
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
0.50
#138
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#72
MRSH defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#111
MRSH defense
#117
Success rates
39%
#111
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#82
0.31
#135
EPA / play
1.33
#24
1.31
#107
Explosiveness
19%
#130
13%
#113
Havoc

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#112
MRSH offense
#62
EPA comparison
0.31
#112
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#73
MRSH offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#114
MRSH offense
#64
Success rates
45%
#114
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#89
0.11
#85
EPA / play
1.10
#23
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
16%
#68
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

CCU
MRSH
vs
Offense
75.2
#82 of 138
QB
72.8
#91 of 138
71.1
#111 of 138
RB
72.7
#101 of 138
73.4
#46 of 138
WR
63.4
#136 of 138
60.3
#117 of 138
TE
65.9
#87 of 138
67.2
#76 of 138
OL
65.2
#93 of 138
Defense
71.9
#88 of 138
DL
75.2
#52 of 138
68.4
#120 of 138
LB
66.2
#129 of 138
75.8
#25 of 138
DB
71.2
#79 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Coastal Carolina
opponent
Marshall
A-10.1
GAST#81
0.0H
H-3.0
APP#100
+1.8H
A-23.9
JMU#51
-28.0A
H-7.0
GASO#102
-3.5A
H-2.1
ODU#130
-2.6A