CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CCU 26.1%73.9% GAST
Projected margin
GAST by 10.1
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
CCU 9 to GAST 29
Win probability
GAST 73.9%

Current team profiles

Coastal Carolina
Georgia State

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#78
GAST defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#72
GAST defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#111
GAST defense
#30
Success rates
39%
#111
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#82
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
1.33
#24
1.20
#60
Explosiveness
19%
#130
20%
#15
Havoc

When Georgia State has the ball

Passing

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#112
GAST offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.31
#112
0.49
#12
Pass EPA

Rushing

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#73
GAST offense
#63
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#114
GAST offense
#41
Success rates
45%
#114
47%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#89
0.24
#32
EPA / play
1.10
#23
1.29
#36
Explosiveness
16%
#68
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

Georgia State
QBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.9
Coverage
62.0
Pressures
25
Pass-rush snaps
93
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.3
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

CCU
GAST
vs
Offense
75.2
#82 of 138
QB
90.3
#21 of 138
71.1
#111 of 138
RB
77.2
#53 of 138
73.4
#46 of 138
WR
74.1
#41 of 138
60.3
#117 of 138
TE
64.8
#91 of 138
67.2
#76 of 138
OL
72.2
#33 of 138
Defense
71.9
#88 of 138
DL
72.4
#78 of 138
68.4
#120 of 138
LB
85.7
#2 of 138
75.8
#25 of 138
DB
69.8
#101 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Coastal Carolina
opponent
Georgia State
H-2.1
ODU#130
+32.0H
A-12.1
UL#92
+0.7H
H-7.0
GASO#102
+4.5H
A-23.9
JMU#51
-16.5A
A+6.0
MRSH#124
0.0A
H-3.0
APP#100
-0.8A
H-1.6
ARST#91
+0.5A