CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ODU 55.1%44.9% CCU
Projected margin
ODU by 2.1
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
ODU 21 to CCU 17
Win probability
ODU 55.1%

Current team profiles

Old Dominion
Coastal Carolina

When Old Dominion has the ball

Passing

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#138
CCU defense
#112
EPA comparison
-0.19
#138
0.31
#112
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#134
CCU defense
#73
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#138
CCU defense
#114
Success rates
31%
#138
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#137
0.11
#89
EPA / play
1.20
#90
1.10
#23
Explosiveness
25%
#138
16%
#68
Havoc

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#55
CCU offense
#78
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.19
#78
Pass EPA

Rushing

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#14
CCU offense
#72
EPA comparison
-0.12
#14
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#22
CCU offense
#111
Success rates
35%
#22
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.12
#82
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.33
#24
Explosiveness
18%
#34
19%
#130
Havoc

Current key players

Old Dominion
QBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
88.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
36
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.0
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
80.8
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
122
Passer rating allowed
98.4
Missed tackles
4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
47
Passer rating allowed
97.4
Missed tackles
1
73.1274/2969
Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ODU
CCU
vs
Offense
57.6
#136 of 138
QB
75.2
#82 of 138
67.3
#133 of 138
RB
71.1
#111 of 138
60.7
#137 of 138
WR
73.4
#46 of 138
67.1
#80 of 138
TE
60.3
#117 of 138
59.7
#132 of 138
OL
67.2
#76 of 138
Defense
69.9
#108 of 138
DL
71.9
#88 of 138
85.2
#4 of 138
LB
68.4
#120 of 138
73.4
#51 of 138
DB
75.8
#25 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Old Dominion
opponent
Coastal Carolina
A-32.0
GAST#81
-10.1A
A+7.0
APP#100
-3.0H
H+1.8
GASO#102
-7.0H
H+2.6
MRSH#124
+6.0A
H-26.0
JMU#51
-23.9A