CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CCU 21.8%78.2% UL
Projected margin
UL by 12.1
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
CCU 7 to UL 31
Win probability
UL 78.2%

Current team profiles

Coastal Carolina
Louisiana

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#78
UL defense
#93
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
0.22
#93
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#72
UL defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.20
#7
Rush EPA

Drive success

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#111
UL defense
#94
Success rates
39%
#111
42%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#82
-0.04
#27
EPA / play
1.33
#24
1.10
#20
Explosiveness
19%
#130
18%
#39
Havoc

When Louisiana has the ball

Passing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#112
UL offense
#62
EPA comparison
0.31
#112
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#73
UL offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#114
UL offense
#68
Success rates
45%
#114
44%
#68
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#89
0.15
#70
EPA / play
1.10
#23
1.19
#95
Explosiveness
16%
#68
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

Louisiana
QBLunch Winfield
849 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
89.726/729
CBBrent Gordon Jr.
30 tkl · 5 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.8
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
16
Yards allowed
157
Passer rating allowed
64.9
Missed tackles
6
90.010/2969
CBCam Riley
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.570/2969
SLake Bates
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.6
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
77.2117/2969
LBLester Jones
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.4
Coverage
48.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.5169/1796
RBAnthony Reagan Jr.
160 yds · 2 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.2175/1044
Availability reports · 3
  • Darrell Smith · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Smith is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Ja'Corian Norris · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Norris is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jerry Birdlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Birdlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CCU
UL
vs
Offense
75.2
#82 of 138
QB
89.7
#25 of 138
71.1
#111 of 138
RB
73.6
#90 of 138
73.4
#46 of 138
WR
69.0
#93 of 138
60.3
#117 of 138
TE
71.5
#54 of 138
67.2
#76 of 138
OL
61.4
#124 of 138
Defense
71.9
#88 of 138
DL
66.1
#133 of 138
68.4
#120 of 138
LB
70.2
#104 of 138
75.8
#25 of 138
DB
78.5
#7 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Coastal Carolina
opponent
Louisiana
A-10.1
GAST#81
-0.7A
H-1.6
ARST#91
+3.0H