CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GAST 33.3%66.7% KENN
Projected margin
KENN by 5.3
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
GAST 14 to KENN 24
Win probability
KENN 66.7%
FinalGAST 31 · KENN 17model had +5.3, off by 19.3

Current team profiles

Georgia State
Kennesaw State

When Georgia State has the ball

Passing

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#12
KENN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.28
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#63
KENN defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#41
KENN defense
#98
Success rates
47%
#41
43%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
0.14
#102
EPA / play
1.29
#36
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
11%
#14
12%
#125
Havoc

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#7
KENN offense
#101
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#73
KENN offense
#51
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#30
KENN offense
#53
Success rates
35%
#30
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.10
#87
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.10
#126
Explosiveness
20%
#15
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia State
QBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.9
Coverage
62.0
Pressures
25
Pass-rush snaps
93
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.3
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

GAST
KENN
vs
Offense
90.3
#21 of 138
QB
79.1
#60 of 138
77.2
#53 of 138
RB
78.9
#40 of 138
74.1
#41 of 138
WR
72.9
#48 of 138
64.8
#91 of 138
TE
52.4
#136 of 138
72.2
#33 of 138
OL
59.3
#135 of 138
Defense
72.4
#78 of 138
DL
72.2
#82 of 138
85.7
#2 of 138
LB
81.1
#16 of 138
69.8
#101 of 138
DB
69.8
#102 of 138
Common opponents