Passing
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU offense
- #138
- GAST defense
- #7
EPA comparison
-0.19
#138
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ODU 28.8%71.2% GAST
- Projected margin
- GAST by 8.2
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- ODU 11 to GAST 29
- Win probability
- GAST 71.2%
FinalODU 10 · GAST 42model had +8.2, off by 23.8
Current team profiles
Old DominionGeorgia StateWhen Old Dominion has the ball
Rushing
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU offense
- #134
- GAST defense
- #73
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU offense
- #138
- GAST defense
- #30
Success rates
31%
#138
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#137
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
1.20
#90
1.20
#60
Explosiveness
25%
#138
20%
#15
Havoc
When Georgia State has the ball
Passing
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU defense
- #55
- GAST offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.49
#12
Pass EPA
Rushing
ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU defense
- #14
- GAST offense
- #63
EPA comparison
-0.12
#14
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU defense
- #22
- GAST offense
- #41
Success rates
35%
#22
47%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.24
#32
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.29
#36
Explosiveness
18%
#34
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
Old DominionQBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.6
- Coverage
- 88.5
- Pressures
- 11
- Pass-rush snaps
- 36
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 80.8
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 122
- Passer rating allowed
- 98.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.1
- Coverage
- 73.2
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 47
- Passer rating allowed
- 97.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.1274/2969
Georgia StateQBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.9
- Coverage
- 62.0
- Pressures
- 25
- Pass-rush snaps
- 93
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ODUOld Dominion
GASTGeorgia State
vs
Offense
57.6
#136 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.3
#21 of 138
67.3
#133 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.2
#53 of 138
60.7
#137 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.1
#41 of 138
67.1
#80 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.8
#91 of 138
59.7
#132 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.2
#33 of 138
Defense
69.9
#108 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.4
#78 of 138
85.2
#4 of 138
LB
Linebackers
85.7
#2 of 138
73.4
#51 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.8
#101 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Old Dominion
opponent
Georgia State
Hhome-26.0
JMUJames Madison#51-16.5Aaway
Aaway+2.1
CCUCoastal Carolina#127+10.1Hhome
Aaway+7.0
APPApp State#100-0.8Aaway
Hhome+1.8
GASOGeorgia Southern#102+4.5Hhome
Hhome+2.6
MRSHMarshall#1240.0Aaway