CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
GAST 49.8%50.2% MRSH
Projected margin
MRSH by 0.0
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
GAST 19 to MRSH 19
Win probability
MRSH 50.2%

Current team profiles

Georgia State
Marshall

When Georgia State has the ball

Passing

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#12
MRSH defense
#138
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.50
#138
Pass EPA

Rushing

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#63
MRSH defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#41
MRSH defense
#117
Success rates
47%
#41
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
0.31
#135
EPA / play
1.29
#36
1.31
#107
Explosiveness
11%
#14
13%
#113
Havoc

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#7
MRSH offense
#62
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#73
MRSH offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#30
MRSH offense
#64
Success rates
35%
#30
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.11
#85
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
20%
#15
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia State
QBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.9
Coverage
62.0
Pressures
25
Pass-rush snaps
93
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.3
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

GAST
MRSH
vs
Offense
90.3
#21 of 138
QB
72.8
#91 of 138
77.2
#53 of 138
RB
72.7
#101 of 138
74.1
#41 of 138
WR
63.4
#136 of 138
64.8
#91 of 138
TE
65.9
#87 of 138
72.2
#33 of 138
OL
65.2
#93 of 138
Defense
72.4
#78 of 138
DL
75.2
#52 of 138
85.7
#2 of 138
LB
66.2
#129 of 138
69.8
#101 of 138
DB
71.2
#79 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia State
opponent
Marshall
H+32.0
ODU#130
-2.6A
H+10.1
CCU#127
-6.0H
A-16.5
JMU#51
-28.0A
H+4.5
GASO#102
-3.5A
A-0.8
APP#100
+1.8H