CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UL 37.3%62.7% LT
Projected margin
LT by 5.0
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
UL 14 to LT 24
Win probability
LT 62.7%
FinalUL 31 · LT 32model had +5.0, off by 4.0

Current team profiles

Louisiana
Louisiana Tech

When Louisiana has the ball

Passing

LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#62
LT defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#45
LT defense
#93
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.10
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#68
LT defense
#45
Success rates
44%
#68
38%
#45
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#70
0.05
#63
EPA / play
1.19
#95
1.38
#123
Explosiveness
14%
#52
21%
#9
Havoc

When Louisiana Tech has the ball

Passing

LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#93
LT offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#7
LT offense
#105
EPA comparison
-0.20
#7
0.02
#105
Rush EPA

Drive success

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#94
LT offense
#100
Success rates
42%
#94
41%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#27
0.12
#83
EPA / play
1.10
#20
1.40
#6
Explosiveness
18%
#39
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

Louisiana
QBLunch Winfield
849 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
89.726/729
CBBrent Gordon Jr.
30 tkl · 5 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.8
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
16
Yards allowed
157
Passer rating allowed
64.9
Missed tackles
6
90.010/2969
CBCam Riley
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.570/2969
SLake Bates
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.6
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
77.2117/2969
LBLester Jones
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.4
Coverage
48.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.5169/1796
RBAnthony Reagan Jr.
160 yds · 2 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.2175/1044
Availability reports · 3
  • Darrell Smith · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Smith is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Ja'Corian Norris · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Norris is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jerry Birdlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Birdlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

Louisiana Tech
QBTrey Kukuk
468 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
79.475/729
TEJoshua Brantley
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
60.0
Penalties
0
83.516/1017
RBDylone Brooks
169 yds · 2 TD · 10.6 YPC
81.065/1044
LBKolbe Fields
30 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
81.067/1796
LBZander Hayes
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.689/1796
DBDamien Richard II
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.373/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Dane Benedix · WRout · 2026-10-08

    Benedix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Trey Kukuk · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kukuk is battling with an ankle injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaden Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UL
LT
vs
Offense
89.7
#25 of 138
QB
79.4
#59 of 138
73.6
#90 of 138
RB
73.7
#88 of 138
69.0
#93 of 138
WR
70.4
#76 of 138
71.5
#54 of 138
TE
83.5
#16 of 138
61.4
#124 of 138
OL
62.4
#120 of 138
Defense
66.1
#133 of 138
DL
67.6
#128 of 138
70.2
#104 of 138
LB
78.9
#26 of 138
78.5
#7 of 138
DB
72.6
#64 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Louisiana
opponent
Louisiana Tech
H+8.8
TROY#111
-0.4A
H+4.0
USA#96
-5.2A
A+15.3
ULM#163
+11.4A
A+3.1
USM#139
+4.5H
H+3.0
ARST#91
+3.9H