Passing
UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UL offense
- #62
- USM defense
- #103
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.27
#103
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UL 56.9%43.1% USM
- Projected margin
- UL by 3.1
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- UL 22 to USM 16
- Win probability
- UL 56.9%
Current team profiles
Louisiana
Southern MissWhen Louisiana has the ball
Rushing
UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UL offense
- #45
- USM defense
- #134
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.26
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UL offense
- #68
- USM defense
- #110
Success rates
44%
#68
45%
#110
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#70
0.20
#122
EPA / play
1.19
#95
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
14%
#52
12%
#129
Havoc
When Southern Miss has the ball
Passing
UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UL defense
- #93
- USM offense
- #111
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.08
#111
Pass EPA
Rushing
UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UL defense
- #7
- USM offense
- #30
EPA comparison
-0.20
#7
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
USM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UL defense
- #94
- USM offense
- #62
Success rates
42%
#94
44%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#27
0.08
#95
EPA / play
1.10
#20
1.19
#94
Explosiveness
18%
#39
15%
#73
Havoc
Current key players
LouisianaQBLunch Winfield
849 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
89.726/729
CBBrent Gordon Jr.
30 tkl · 5 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.8
- Coverage
- 90.0
- Targets allowed
- 29
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 157
- Passer rating allowed
- 64.9
- Missed tackles
- 6
90.010/2969
CBCam Riley
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.570/2969
SLake Bates
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.6
- Coverage
- 77.6
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.2117/2969
LBLester Jones
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 53.4
- Coverage
- 48.2
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.5169/1796
RBAnthony Reagan Jr.
160 yds · 2 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.2175/1044
Availability reports · 3
- Darrell Smith · RBout · 2026-10-07
Smith is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Ja'Corian Norris · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Norris is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jerry Birdlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Birdlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.
Southern MissQBEthan Hampton
419 yds · 2 TD · 4 INT
69.3163/729
LBMelvin Spriggs
10 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.4
- Coverage
- 62.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
86.231/1796
WRMJ Johnson
9 rec · 120 yds · 0 TD
83.631/2069
DBKobi Albert
13 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 52
- Passer rating allowed
- 16.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.334/2969
DBJonah Martinez
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.5
- Coverage
- 89.8
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 25
- Passer rating allowed
- 13.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
83.136/2969
DBLaquan Robinson
20 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.5
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.160/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ethan Hampton · QBout · 2026-09-25
Hampton is nursing with a hand injury, and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Grant Page · WRout · 2026-09-22
Page is sidelined due to a dislocated elbow, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jaylen Himes · WRout · 2026-09-25
Himes is out of commission due to a foot injury, and he will miss an extended period.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ULLouisiana
USMSouthern Miss
vs
Offense
89.7
#25 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.3
#103 of 138
73.6
#90 of 138
RB
Running backs
71.1
#110 of 138
69.0
#93 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.2
#40 of 138
71.5
#54 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#58 of 138
61.4
#124 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.9
#28 of 138
Defense
66.1
#133 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.4
#100 of 138
70.2
#104 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#55 of 138
78.5
#7 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.2
#23 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Louisiana
opponent
Southern Miss
Hhome+8.8
TROYTroy#111-21.0Aaway
Aaway+15.3
ULMUL Monroe#163+9.6Aaway
Hhome+4.0
USASouth Alabama#96-1.7Hhome
Aaway-1.0
LTLouisiana Tech#87-4.5Aaway
Hhome+3.0
ARSTArkansas State#91+2.0Hhome