CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Thu Nov 12 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UL 83.3%16.7% ULM
Projected margin
UL by 15.3
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
UL 34 to ULM 3
Win probability
UL 83.3%

Current team profiles

Louisiana
UL Monroe

When Louisiana has the ball

Passing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#62
ULM defense
#132
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.45
#132
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#45
ULM defense
#136
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.27
#136
Rush EPA

Drive success

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#68
ULM defense
#136
Success rates
44%
#68
51%
#136
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#70
0.32
#137
EPA / play
1.19
#95
1.24
#84
Explosiveness
14%
#52
11%
#133
Havoc

When UL Monroe has the ball

Passing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#93
ULM offense
#111
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.08
#111
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#7
ULM offense
#100
EPA comparison
-0.20
#7
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#94
ULM offense
#88
Success rates
42%
#94
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#27
0.00
#121
EPA / play
1.10
#20
1.16
#102
Explosiveness
18%
#39
17%
#120
Havoc

Current key players

Louisiana
QBLunch Winfield
849 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
89.726/729
CBBrent Gordon Jr.
30 tkl · 5 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.8
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
16
Yards allowed
157
Passer rating allowed
64.9
Missed tackles
6
90.010/2969
CBCam Riley
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.570/2969
SLake Bates
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.6
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
77.2117/2969
LBLester Jones
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.4
Coverage
48.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.5169/1796
RBAnthony Reagan Jr.
160 yds · 2 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.2175/1044
Availability reports · 3
  • Darrell Smith · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Smith is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Ja'Corian Norris · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Norris is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jerry Birdlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Birdlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

UL Monroe
QBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
78.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.0
Coverage
67.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
70.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
35
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03

    Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01

    Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UL
ULM
vs
Offense
89.7
#25 of 138
QB
70.1
#99 of 138
73.6
#90 of 138
RB
73.6
#91 of 138
69.0
#93 of 138
WR
69.2
#92 of 138
71.5
#54 of 138
TE
60.2
#118 of 138
61.4
#124 of 138
OL
64.2
#103 of 138
Defense
66.1
#133 of 138
DL
70.7
#96 of 138
70.2
#104 of 138
LB
71.7
#91 of 138
78.5
#7 of 138
DB
63.4
#137 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Louisiana
opponent
UL Monroe
H+8.8
TROY#111
-14.5A
H+4.0
USA#96
-17.0A
H+3.0
ARST#91
-15.5A
H+7.0
UAB#137
-6.0A
A+3.1
USM#139
-9.6H
A-1.0
LT#87
-11.4H