CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NICH 7.8%92.3% SHSU
Projected margin
SHSU by 23.1
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
SHSU 3 to SHSU 43
Win probability
SHSU 92.3%
FinalNICH 0 · SHSU 59model had +23.1, off by 35.9

Current team profiles

Nicholls
Sam Houston

When Nicholls has the ball

Passing

No comparison
NICH offense
—
SHSU defense
#26
EPA comparison
—
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
NICH offense
—
SHSU defense
#134
EPA comparison
—
0.26
#134
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
NICH offense
#100
SHSU defense
#95
Success rates
41%
#100
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#105
0.13
#98
EPA / play
0.19
#100
1.22
#70
Explosiveness
—
20%
#18
Havoc

When Sam Houston has the ball

Passing

No comparison
NICH defense
—
SHSU offense
#98
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
NICH defense
—
SHSU offense
#110
EPA comparison
—
0.00
#110
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
NICH defense
#26
SHSU offense
#96
Success rates
41%
#26
41%
#96
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#39
0.05
#107
EPA / play
0.19
#34
1.28
#41
Explosiveness
—
18%
#122
Havoc

Current key players

Nicholls
LBCharlie Diedrich
9 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
64.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.172/1054
LBTrent Santos
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.0
Coverage
62.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.579/1054
WRJordan Smith
28 rec · 366 yds · 3 TD
75.168/1229
DBJhamal Shelby Jr.
15 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
130
Passer rating allowed
71.1
Missed tackles
0
75.1139/1765
DBKristian Dillard
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.1
Coverage
76.7
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
74.7160/1765
KJoshua Bellanger
0 punts · 0.0 avg
74.443/416
Sam Houston
QBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Coverage
85.4
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
29.2
Missed tackles
1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
71.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
7.3
Missed tackles
5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08

    Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NICH
SHSU
vs
Offense
66.0
#86 of 125
QB
90.6
#17 of 138
66.7
#104 of 126
RB
75.4
#71 of 138
69.0
#64 of 126
WR
70.0
#80 of 138
68.5
#39 of 124
TE
63.3
#102 of 138
66.1
#46 of 125
OL
65.6
#90 of 138
Defense
64.9
#119 of 126
DL
74.7
#56 of 138
74.6
#34 of 126
LB
76.7
#47 of 138
72.4
#48 of 126
DB
73.4
#52 of 138
Common opponents