AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 11:00 PM
Away
Nicholls
—
25p
#137Home
Sam Houston
0-0 · AVR 21.9
32p
NICH 32%68% SHSU
Spread
SHSU -6.2
Total
57
Moneyline
NICH+209SHSU-209
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Sam Houston
RBLandan Brown
57.0141/514
LBDean Ford
53.9406/878
LBEli Wallace
50.0482/878
WRChris Reed
43.4511/777
QBLandyn Locke
42.0257/308
STyler Bailey
41.3998/1427

Projected margin

80% between -11 and 23
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKSHSU +6.295% interval: -16.8 to 29.280% interval: -10.5 to 22.9-10+23NICH wins 32%SHSU wins 68%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ SHSU 32–25 NICHSHSU 28–49 NICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSHSU 32–46 NICH neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSHSU 35–42 NICH neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSHSU 39–39 NICH neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSHSU 42–35 NICH neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSHSU 46–32 NICH neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSHSU 49–28 NICH neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesSHSU 53–25 NICH neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSHSU 56–21 NICH neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSHSU 25–46 NICH neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSHSU 28–42 NICH neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesSHSU 32–39 NICH neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSHSU 35–35 NICH neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSHSU 39–32 NICH neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesSHSU 42–28 NICH neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesSHSU 46–25 NICH neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSHSU 49–21 NICH neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesSHSU 53–18 NICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSHSU 21–42 NICH neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSHSU 25–39 NICH neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesSHSU 28–35 NICH neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSHSU 32–32 NICH neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesSHSU 35–28 NICH neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesSHSU 39–25 NICH neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesSHSU 42–21 NICH neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSHSU 46–18 NICH neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesSHSU 49–14 NICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSHSU 18–39 NICH neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSHSU 21–35 NICH neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesSHSU 25–32 NICH neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSHSU 28–28 NICH neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesSHSU 32–25 NICH neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesSHSU 35–21 NICH neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesSHSU 39–18 NICH neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSHSU 42–14 NICH neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesSHSU 46–11 NICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSHSU 14–35 NICH neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSHSU 18–32 NICH neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesSHSU 21–28 NICH neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSHSU 25–25 NICH neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesSHSU 28–21 NICH neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesSHSU 32–18 NICH neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesSHSU 35–14 NICH neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSHSU 39–11 NICH neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesSHSU 42–7 NICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSHSU 11–32 NICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSHSU 14–28 NICH neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesSHSU 18–25 NICH neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSHSU 21–21 NICH neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesSHSU 25–18 NICH neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesSHSU 28–14 NICH neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesSHSU 32–11 NICH neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSHSU 35–7 NICH neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSHSU 39–4 NICH neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSHSU 7–28 NICH neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSHSU 11–25 NICH neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSHSU 14–21 NICH neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesSHSU 18–18 NICH neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSHSU 21–14 NICH neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSHSU 25–11 NICH neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSHSU 28–7 NICH neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesSHSU 32–4 NICH neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSHSU 35–0 NICH neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomes77706356494235totalNICH +21NICH +7SHSU +7SHSU +21SHSU +35margin →