CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET
#113Away
Kennesaw State
1-4 · AVR 51.6
31p
#125Home
Sam Houston
1-4 · AVR 49.4
21p
Forecast win probability
KENN 71.0%28.9% SHSU
Projected margin
KENN by 8.7
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
KENN 27 to SHSU 10
Win probability
KENN 71.0%

Current team profiles

Kennesaw State
Sam Houston

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#101
SHSU defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#51
SHSU defense
#134
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.26
#134
Rush EPA

Drive success

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#53
SHSU defense
#95
Success rates
45%
#53
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.10
#126
1.22
#70
Explosiveness
14%
#60
20%
#18
Havoc

When Sam Houston has the ball

Passing

SHSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#107
SHSU offense
#98
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#68
SHSU offense
#110
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.00
#110
Rush EPA

Drive success

SHSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#98
SHSU offense
#96
Success rates
43%
#98
41%
#96
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#102
0.05
#107
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.28
#41
Explosiveness
12%
#125
18%
#122
Havoc

Current key players

Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Sam Houston
QBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Coverage
85.4
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
29.2
Missed tackles
1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
71.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
7.3
Missed tackles
5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08

    Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENN
SHSU
vs
Offense
79.1
#60 of 138
QB
90.6
#17 of 138
78.9
#40 of 138
RB
75.4
#71 of 138
72.9
#48 of 138
WR
70.0
#80 of 138
52.4
#136 of 138
TE
63.3
#102 of 138
59.3
#135 of 138
OL
65.6
#90 of 138
Defense
72.2
#82 of 138
DL
74.7
#56 of 138
81.1
#16 of 138
LB
76.7
#47 of 138
69.8
#102 of 138
DB
73.4
#52 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kennesaw State
opponent
Sam Houston
H-3.4
LIB#77
-32.0A
H+2.1
FIU#99
-14.5A
H-1.0
JXST#103
-16.7A
A+3.4
MOST#141
-7.9A
A+4.0
MTSU#150
-2.0H
A+0.1
WKU#122
-5.9H