CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FIU 44.8%55.2% KENN
Projected margin
KENN by 2.1
Projected total
47
80% outcome range
FIU 16 to KENN 21
Win probability
KENN 55.2%

Current team profiles

Florida International
Kennesaw State

When Florida International has the ball

Passing

Same rank
FIU offense
#107
KENN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.10
#107
0.28
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#129
KENN defense
#68
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#115
KENN defense
#98
Success rates
39%
#115
43%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#124
0.14
#102
EPA / play
1.13
#116
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
16%
#98
12%
#125
Havoc

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#14
KENN offense
#101
EPA comparison
-0.05
#14
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#29
KENN offense
#51
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#11
KENN offense
#53
Success rates
34%
#11
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#14
0.10
#87
EPA / play
1.14
#28
1.10
#126
Explosiveness
18%
#31
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

Florida International
QBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
76.9
Targets allowed
20
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
66.9
Missed tackles
2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
33.3
Missed tackles
2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob

  • Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo

  • Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October

Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FIU
KENN
vs
Offense
72.7
#92 of 138
QB
79.1
#60 of 138
74.8
#73 of 138
RB
78.9
#40 of 138
71.2
#72 of 138
WR
72.9
#48 of 138
60.0
#120 of 138
TE
52.4
#136 of 138
62.6
#118 of 138
OL
59.3
#135 of 138
Defense
76.1
#45 of 138
DL
72.2
#82 of 138
75.9
#52 of 138
LB
81.1
#16 of 138
72.6
#63 of 138
DB
69.8
#102 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Florida International
opponent
Kennesaw State
H+9.9
MTSU#150
+4.0A
H+9.3
MOST#141
+3.4A
H+14.5
SHSU#125
+8.7A
A+0.1
DEL#119
+4.8H
A-8.1
LIB#77
-3.4H
A-4.8
JXST#103
-1.0H