CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MRSH 43.6%56.4% ODU
Projected margin
ODU by 2.6
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
MRSH 16 to ODU 21
Win probability
ODU 56.4%

Current team profiles

Marshall
Old Dominion

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#62
ODU defense
#55
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#107
ODU defense
#14
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
-0.12
#14
Rush EPA

Drive success

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#64
ODU defense
#22
Success rates
44%
#64
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#85
-0.05
#23
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.20
#60
Explosiveness
17%
#114
18%
#34
Havoc

When Old Dominion has the ball

Passing

Same rank
MRSH defense
#138
ODU offense
#138
EPA comparison
0.50
#138
-0.19
#138
Pass EPA

Rushing

MRSH defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#112
ODU offense
#134
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
-0.11
#134
Rush EPA

Drive success

MRSH defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#117
ODU offense
#138
Success rates
46%
#117
31%
#138
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#135
-0.15
#137
EPA / play
1.31
#107
1.20
#90
Explosiveness
13%
#113
25%
#138
Havoc

Current key players

Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
Old Dominion
QBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
88.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
36
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.0
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
80.8
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
122
Passer rating allowed
98.4
Missed tackles
4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
47
Passer rating allowed
97.4
Missed tackles
1
73.1274/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

MRSH
ODU
vs
Offense
72.8
#91 of 138
QB
57.6
#136 of 138
72.7
#101 of 138
RB
67.3
#133 of 138
63.4
#136 of 138
WR
60.7
#137 of 138
65.9
#87 of 138
TE
67.1
#80 of 138
65.2
#93 of 138
OL
59.7
#132 of 138
Defense
75.2
#52 of 138
DL
69.9
#108 of 138
66.2
#129 of 138
LB
85.2
#4 of 138
71.2
#79 of 138
DB
73.4
#51 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Marshall
opponent
Old Dominion
H0.0
GAST#81
-32.0A
H-6.0
CCU#127
+2.1A
A-3.5
GASO#102
+1.8H
H+1.8
APP#100
+7.0A
A-28.0
JMU#51
-26.0H