Passing
LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USM offense
- #111
- LT defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
USM 38.2%61.8% LT
- Projected margin
- LT by 4.5
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- USM 14 to LT 23
- Win probability
- LT 61.8%
Current team profiles
Southern MissLouisiana TechWhen Southern Miss has the ball
Rushing
USM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USM offense
- #30
- LT defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USM offense
- #62
- LT defense
- #45
Success rates
44%
#62
38%
#45
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#95
0.05
#63
EPA / play
1.19
#94
1.38
#123
Explosiveness
15%
#73
21%
#9
Havoc
When Louisiana Tech has the ball
Passing
LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USM defense
- #103
- LT offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USM defense
- #134
- LT offense
- #105
EPA comparison
0.26
#134
0.02
#105
Rush EPA
Drive success
LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USM defense
- #110
- LT offense
- #100
Success rates
45%
#110
41%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#122
0.12
#83
EPA / play
1.24
#78
1.40
#6
Explosiveness
12%
#129
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
Southern MissQBEthan Hampton
419 yds · 2 TD · 4 INT
69.3163/729
LBMelvin Spriggs
10 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.4
- Coverage
- 62.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
86.231/1796
WRMJ Johnson
9 rec · 120 yds · 0 TD
83.631/2069
DBKobi Albert
13 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 52
- Passer rating allowed
- 16.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.334/2969
DBJonah Martinez
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.5
- Coverage
- 89.8
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 25
- Passer rating allowed
- 13.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
83.136/2969
DBLaquan Robinson
20 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.5
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.160/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ethan Hampton · QBout · 2026-09-25
Hampton is nursing with a hand injury, and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Grant Page · WRout · 2026-09-22
Page is sidelined due to a dislocated elbow, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jaylen Himes · WRout · 2026-09-25
Himes is out of commission due to a foot injury, and he will miss an extended period.
Louisiana TechQBTrey Kukuk
468 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
79.475/729
TEJoshua Brantley
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 60.0
- Penalties
- 0
83.516/1017
RBDylone Brooks
169 yds · 2 TD · 10.6 YPC
81.065/1044
LBKolbe Fields
30 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 75.4
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 24
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
81.067/1796
LBZander Hayes
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.689/1796
DBDamien Richard II
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.373/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Dane Benedix · WRout · 2026-10-08
Benedix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Trey Kukuk · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Kukuk is battling with an ankle injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Miller is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
USMSouthern Miss
LTLouisiana Tech
vs
Offense
69.3
#103 of 138
QB
Quarterback
79.4
#59 of 138
71.1
#110 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.7
#88 of 138
74.2
#40 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.4
#76 of 138
70.8
#58 of 138
TE
Tight ends
83.5
#16 of 138
72.9
#28 of 138
OL
Offensive line
62.4
#120 of 138
Defense
70.4
#100 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.6
#128 of 138
75.7
#55 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.9
#26 of 138
76.2
#23 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.6
#64 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Southern Miss
opponent
Louisiana Tech
Aaway-21.0
TROYTroy#111-0.4Aaway
Aaway-3.7
ODUOld Dominion#130+3.5Hhome
Hhome-3.1
ULLouisiana#92+1.0Hhome
Hhome-1.7
USASouth Alabama#96-5.2Aaway
Hhome+2.0
ARSTArkansas State#91+3.9Hhome
Aaway+9.6
ULMUL Monroe#163+11.4Aaway