CFB
Model

Dayton

Pioneer · 2 in conference · Championship Subdivision. Athletic Vector Rankings on the shared Division I strength scale.

Playoff projection

6.4 projected wins
Field
10%
Seeded
0%
Quarters
<1%
Semis
0%
Final
0%
Title
0%

24 teams: eleven conference champions take automatic bids and thirteen are chosen at large. The top eight are seeded and skip the first round. Automatic bid in 10% of runs.

Schedule

3 played · 6 to come

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

WkOpponentResult
3at#196Eastern KentuckyW17–14
5at#252DrakeL22–30
6vs#265Morehead StateW56–28
7at#192ButlerWin chance 42% · Margin -3.4—
8vs#243San DiegoWin chance 67% · Margin 7.4—
9at#264StetsonWin chance 91% · Margin 21.6—
10vs#247ValparaisoWin chance 84% · Margin 16.3—
11vs#266DavidsonWin chance 97% · Margin 29.9—
12at#261PresbyterianWin chance 48% · Margin -0.8—

Roster and position units

Roster mean 70.3 · Offense 70.0 · Defense 70.5

Mean across rated position-depth slots; missing slots excluded. AVR aggregation of vendor player grades, not a vendor-issued team grade.

Mean overall grade of each unit’s top-rated players, as of week 6. Ranks are within FCS.

QB 75.1

#52 of 125 · 1/1 players

RB 75.2

#41 of 126 · 2/2 players

WR 68.2

#71 of 126 · 3/3 players

TE 74.7

#19 of 124 · 1/1 players

OL 67.1

#39 of 125 · 5/5 players

DL 73.7

#34 of 126 · 4/4 players

LB 66.1

#109 of 126 · 3/3 players

DB 70.7

#76 of 126 · 5/5 players

offense · overall grade

  • RBMason Hackett76.9
  • QBBryce Schondelmyer75.1
  • TEDonovan Weatherly74.7
  • WRMichael Mussari74.3
  • OLMatthew Appel73.9
  • RBNoah Spencer73.5
  • RBLuke Hansen73.2
  • KThomas Thakady69.0

defense · overall grade

  • LBDavid Curl III80.1
  • DLZane Plattner78.6
  • DLGriffin Suren77.2
  • DBJavawn Brooks76.9
  • DBKolyn Ogletree73.1
  • DLCollin Ansel72.0
  • DBPaul Knapke71.5
  • DLGustav Dammann67.0

Past seasons

Year by year
+10.6 points since 2022
102030405022.8202223.1202327.2202433.42025
2022 22.82023 23.12024 27.22025 33.4

2025

6-4
D-I rank
#219
Rating
33.4

2024

5-5
D-I rank
#239
Rating
27.2

2023

2-7
D-I rank
#246
Rating
23.1

2022

7-3
D-I rank
#248
Rating
22.8