CFB
Model

East Tennessee State

Southern · 5 in conference · Championship Subdivision. Athletic Vector Rankings on the shared Division I strength scale.

Playoff projection

6.9 projected wins · most likely seed 8
Field
40%
Seeded
2%
Quarters
5%
Semis
2%
Final
1%
Title
<1%

24 teams: eleven conference champions take automatic bids and thirteen are chosen at large. The top eight are seeded and skip the first round. Automatic bid in 25% of runs.

Schedule

5 played · 5 to come

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

WkOpponentResult
1vs#174CampbellL37–49
3vs#235West GeorgiaW35–27
4vs#180Western CarolinaW58–31
5vs#167ChattanoogaW14–3
6at#218The CitadelW34–16
8at#263VMIWin chance 96% · Margin 29.0—
9vs#146Tennessee TechWin chance 49% · Margin -0.4—
10vs#222SamfordWin chance 91% · Margin 22.0—
11at#166WoffordWin chance 50% · Margin 0.1—
12at#151MercerWin chance 30% · Margin -8.7—

Roster and position units

Roster mean 71.2 · Offense 71.6 · Defense 70.7

Mean across rated position-depth slots; missing slots excluded. AVR aggregation of vendor player grades, not a vendor-issued team grade.

Mean overall grade of each unit’s top-rated players, as of week 6. Ranks are within FCS.

QB 78.7

#40 of 125 · 1/1 players

RB 76.1

#29 of 126 · 2/2 players

WR 69.9

#57 of 126 · 3/3 players

TE 76.7

#13 of 124 · 1/1 players

OL 68.4

#29 of 125 · 5/5 players

DL 70.3

#69 of 126 · 4/4 players

LB 70.6

#70 of 126 · 3/3 players

DB 71.1

#67 of 126 · 5/5 players

offense · overall grade

  • KBrock Winstead81.2
  • RBTJ Peyton80.9
  • QBMason Mims78.7
  • QBJadyn Davis77.6
  • KEwan Johnson77.1
  • TEBilly Lyons76.7
  • OLFrank West72.8
  • WRSuderian Harrison72.0

defense · overall grade

  • DBMike Jenkins80.2
  • DBCJ Gilmore75.7
  • LBJeremiah Curry73.1
  • DLAyden Guess72.5
  • DLJosh Meltzer71.2
  • DLTyreek'e Robinson70.5
  • DBTerian Williams II70.1
  • LBJosh McCullough70.1

Past seasons

Year by year
-1.2 points since 2022
102335486042.3202227.6202342.2202441.22025
2022 42.32023 27.62024 42.22025 41.2

2025

7-5
D-I rank
#172
Rating
41.2

2024

6-5
D-I rank
#166
Rating
42.2

2023

2-8
D-I rank
#233
Rating
27.6

2022

2-8
D-I rank
#170
Rating
42.3