CFB
Model

Illinois State

MVFC · 5 in conference · Championship Subdivision. Athletic Vector Rankings on the shared Division I strength scale.

Playoff projection

5.7 projected wins · most likely seed 8
Field
92%
Seeded
45%
Quarters
42%
Semis
20%
Final
9%
Title
4%

24 teams: eleven conference champions take automatic bids and thirteen are chosen at large. The top eight are seeded and skip the first round. Automatic bid in 1% of runs.

Schedule

4 played · 6 to come

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

WkOpponentResult
1at#191Western IllinoisW41–10
3vs#215Eastern IllinoisW49–13
4at#158Northern IowaL21–28
5vs#75South Dakota StateL14–31
7at#136Southern IllinoisWin chance 50% · Margin -0.1—
8vs#183Indiana StateWin chance 90% · Margin 21.0—
9vs#242Murray StateWin chance 96% · Margin 28.9—
10at#110North DakotaWin chance 41% · Margin -3.9—
11at#82Youngstown StateWin chance 33% · Margin -7.4—
12vs#112South DakotaWin chance 59% · Margin 3.7—

Roster and position units

Roster mean 74.2 · Offense 75.0 · Defense 73.4

Mean across rated position-depth slots; missing slots excluded. AVR aggregation of vendor player grades, not a vendor-issued team grade.

Mean overall grade of each unit’s top-rated players, as of week 6. Ranks are within FCS.

QB 84.6

#19 of 125 · 1/1 players

RB 74.2

#46 of 126 · 2/2 players

WR 71.0

#40 of 126 · 3/3 players

TE 66.3

#55 of 124 · 1/1 players

OL 77.6

#1 of 125 · 5/5 players

DL 68.7

#89 of 126 · 4/4 players

LB 76.4

#18 of 126 · 3/3 players

DB 75.4

#19 of 126 · 5/5 players

offense · overall grade

  • OLJacob Finley89.9
  • QBChase Kwiatkowski84.6
  • QBGage Roy78.0
  • OLChris Hill Jr.76.6
  • OLDominic McKibbin75.3
  • OLDuncan MacDonald74.9
  • RBAnthony Hall74.7
  • WRDylan Lord74.6

defense · overall grade

  • LBTye Niekamp79.1
  • DBKey Crowell78.5
  • LBDexter Niekamp77.9
  • DBAidan Crews76.2
  • DLBen Harman75.6
  • DBDoreon Dubose74.8
  • DBJordan Coleman74.5
  • DBJack Oliver72.8

Past seasons

Year by year
+7.1 points since 2022
303845536042.2202248.9202345.6202449.32025
2022 42.22023 48.92024 45.62025 49.3

2025

11-4
D-I rank
#121
Rating
49.3

2024

10-4
D-I rank
#146
Rating
45.6

2023

6-5
D-I rank
#128
Rating
48.9

2022

6-5
D-I rank
#171
Rating
42.2