Northern Arizona

24 teams: eleven conference champions take automatic bids and thirteen are chosen at large. The top eight are seeded and skip the first round. Automatic bid in 5% of runs.

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Wk	Opponent	Result	Projected	Win prob
1	vs#154Eastern Washington	W34–27	+8.8	68%
2	vs#179Incarnate Word	W38–28	+2.9	57%
3	at#246Utah Tech	W35–23	+9.9	73%
4	at#78Montana State	L14–28	-23.4	8%
5	at#143Idaho State	W38–31	-6.9	34%
6	vs#129Montana	W49–44	-8.8	30%
7	vs#226Portland StateWin chance 88% · Margin 19.6	—	+19.6	88%
9	at#178Southern UtahWin chance 44% · Margin -2.4	—	-2.4	44%
10	at#173Cal PolyWin chance 54% · Margin 1.5	—	+1.5	54%
11	vs#197Weber StateWin chance 74% · Margin 10.7	—	+10.7	74%
12	vs#189Northern ColoradoWin chance 79% · Margin 13.0	—	+13.0	79%

Roster and position units

Roster mean 70.2 · Offense 68.5 · Defense 71.9

Mean across rated position-depth slots; missing slots excluded. AVR aggregation of vendor player grades, not a vendor-issued team grade.

Mean overall grade of each unit’s top-rated players, as of week 6. Ranks are within FCS.