Valparaiso

24 teams: eleven conference champions take automatic bids and thirteen are chosen at large. The top eight are seeded and skip the first round. Automatic bid in <1% of runs.

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Wk	Opponent	Result	Projected	Win prob
2	at#242Murray State	L18–27	-23.4	8%
3	at#183Indiana State	L16–39	-25.2	6%
4	vs#192Butler	L28–33	-10.6	26%
5	at#265Morehead State	W37–3	-3.5	42%
6	vs#252Drake	W21–13	-11.7	24%
7	at#243San DiegoWin chance 23% · Margin -12.5	—	-12.5	23%
8	vs#261PresbyterianWin chance 35% · Margin -6.4	—	-6.4	35%
10	at#210DaytonWin chance 16% · Margin -16.3	—	-16.3	16%
11	at#264StetsonWin chance 71% · Margin 8.9	—	+8.9	71%
12	vs#214St. Thomas (MN)Win chance 22% · Margin -12.7	—	-12.7	22%

Roster and position units

Roster mean 70.2 · Offense 68.9 · Defense 71.5

Mean across rated position-depth slots; missing slots excluded. AVR aggregation of vendor player grades, not a vendor-issued team grade.

Mean overall grade of each unit’s top-rated players, as of week 6. Ranks are within FCS.