Passing
No comparison
- UAPB offense
- —
- MIZ defense
- #38
EPA comparison
—
0.06
#38
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UAPB 0.1%99.9% MIZ
- Projected margin
- MIZ by 54.9
- Projected total
- 69
- 80% outcome range
- MIZ 34 to MIZ 75
- Win probability
- MIZ 99.9%
FinalUAPB 14 · MIZ 54model had +54.9, off by 14.9
Current team profiles
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
MissouriWhen Arkansas-Pine Bluff has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- UAPB offense
- —
- MIZ defense
- #29
EPA comparison
—
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- UAPB offense
- #28
- MIZ defense
- #20
Success rates
46%
#28
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#28
-0.02
#33
EPA / play
0.22
#32
1.34
#114
Explosiveness
—
22%
#4
Havoc
When Missouri has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- UAPB defense
- —
- MIZ offense
- #19
EPA comparison
—
0.43
#19
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- UAPB defense
- —
- MIZ offense
- #72
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- UAPB defense
- #113
- MIZ offense
- #79
Success rates
48%
#113
43%
#79
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#106
0.20
#46
EPA / play
0.23
#109
1.30
#30
Explosiveness
—
16%
#93
Havoc
Current key players
Arkansas-Pine BluffDBMichael Henderson
28 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.5
- Coverage
- 86.8
- Targets allowed
- 22
- Rec allowed
- 15
- Yards allowed
- 170
- Passer rating allowed
- 102.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
83.918/1765
RBZa'Marion Webber
303 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
82.421/631
RBJalen Williams
200 yds · 1 TD · 12.5 YPC
81.725/631
LBMohammed Kelleh
20 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.8
- Coverage
- 82.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 31
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.241/1054
DBRaylen Spratt
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 72.9
- Targets allowed
- 10
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 70
- Passer rating allowed
- 75.0
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.2138/1765
KTrey Glymph
5/5 FG · 0%
74.938/416
MissouriQBAustin Simmons
1270 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
88.428/729
WRCayden Lee
33 rec · 496 yds · 4 TD
91.35/2069
LBRobert Woodyard Jr.
32 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.5
- Coverage
- 55.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.5126/1796
CBJahlil Florence
6 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.7
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 9.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.7168/2969
SCJ Bass III
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.5210/2969
SSantana Banner
42 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 155
- Passer rating allowed
- 128.9
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.2218/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Cayden Green · OGout · 2026-09-20
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Gavin Hoffman · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Ahmad Hardy · RBout · 2026-09-11
Hardy is dealing with a leg injury, and and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Jabari Brady · WRout · 2026-09-20
Brady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Darris Smith · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against the Ole Miss on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UAPBArkansas-Pine Bluff
MIZMissouri
vs
Offense
70.8
#70 of 125
QB
Quarterback
88.4
#27 of 138
82.1
#6 of 126
RB
Running backs
69.8
#121 of 138
70.4
#52 of 126
WR
Receivers
77.6
#19 of 138
54.0
#120 of 124
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#63 of 138
66.0
#49 of 125
OL
Offensive line
77.3
#9 of 138
Defense
68.6
#92 of 126
DL
Defensive line
81.3
#11 of 138
72.0
#52 of 126
LB
Linebackers
72.7
#81 of 138
73.3
#38 of 126
DB
Secondary
73.6
#49 of 138