CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CLT 0.5%99.5% MISS
Projected margin
MISS by 41.0
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
MISS 23 to MISS 60
Win probability
MISS 99.5%
FinalCLT 9 · MISS 41model had +41.0, off by 9.0

Current team profiles

Charlotte
Ole Miss

When Charlotte has the ball

Passing

MISS defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#128
MISS defense
#98
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
0.25
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

MISS defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#129
MISS defense
#102
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.13
#102
Rush EPA

Drive success

MISS defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#132
MISS defense
#114
Success rates
34%
#132
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#134
0.15
#105
EPA / play
1.16
#104
1.17
#42
Explosiveness
20%
#134
16%
#65
Havoc

When Ole Miss has the ball

Passing

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
MISS offense
#15
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.45
#15
Pass EPA

Rushing

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#119
MISS offense
#42
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.17
#42
Rush EPA

Drive success

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
MISS offense
#4
Success rates
49%
#132
53%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#128
0.27
#26
EPA / play
1.21
#67
1.13
#115
Explosiveness
11%
#133
13%
#37
Havoc

Current key players

Charlotte
QBCole Gonzales
802 yds · 3 TD · 7 INT
59.4308/729
LBGavin Willis
42 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
67.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.7147/1796
RBChance Williams
116 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
74.7181/1044
DBDy'Lon Womack
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
123
Passer rating allowed
111.7
Missed tackles
3
73.3260/2969
TELane Wadle
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
1
70.977/1017
DBDevon St. Clair
2 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Coverage
70.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
66.0758/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Hoffman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Owls on Saturday, October 17th.

Ole Miss
QBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.8
Run blocking
70.3
Penalties
1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CLT
MISS
vs
Offense
59.4
#135 of 138
QB
85.0
#40 of 138
73.7
#89 of 138
RB
70.9
#114 of 138
63.8
#135 of 138
WR
77.1
#25 of 138
70.9
#56 of 138
TE
79.4
#26 of 138
63.5
#111 of 138
OL
64.5
#100 of 138
Defense
70.0
#107 of 138
DL
73.0
#71 of 138
65.9
#131 of 138
LB
71.2
#94 of 138
66.8
#127 of 138
DB
69.9
#99 of 138
Common opponents