Passing
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #19
- SC defense
- #121
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.35
#121
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 4:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MSST 53.8%46.2% SC
- Projected margin
- MSST by 1.6
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- MSST 21 to SC 17
- Win probability
- MSST 53.8%
FinalMSST 41 · SC 34model had -1.6, off by 5.4
Current team profiles
Mississippi State
South CarolinaWhen Mississippi State has the ball
Rushing
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #30
- SC defense
- #37
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA
Drive success
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST offense
- #29
- SC defense
- #74
Success rates
48%
#29
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#24
0.13
#96
EPA / play
1.32
#27
1.27
#90
Explosiveness
14%
#63
14%
#101
Havoc
When South Carolina has the ball
Passing
SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #75
- SC offense
- #66
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #73
- SC offense
- #25
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.22
#25
Rush EPA
Drive success
SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSST defense
- #78
- SC offense
- #40
Success rates
41%
#78
47%
#40
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#88
0.21
#42
EPA / play
1.16
#40
1.21
#83
Explosiveness
17%
#43
13%
#44
Havoc
Current key players
Mississippi StateQBKamario Taylor
1450 yds · 17 TD · 4 INT
73.0130/729
RBJ.J. Hill
124 yds · 2 TD · 12.4 YPC
90.09/1044
CBJett Jefferson
25 tkl · 8 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.9
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 31
- Rec allowed
- 15
- Yards allowed
- 164
- Passer rating allowed
- 96.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.124/2969
WRAnthony Evans III
40 rec · 574 yds · 5 TD
82.834/2069
SJardin Gilbert
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 158.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.8100/2969
SIsaac Smith
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.3
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6171/2969
Availability reports · 4
- A. Williams · WRout · 2026-10-01
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unlikely to play Saturday against the Alabama.
- Trevion Williams · DLout · 2026-09-26
Williams is sidelined due to Leg injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Bull Mitchell · WRout · 2026-09-20
Mitchell is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Jamari Freeman · OGQues. · 2026-10-03
Freeman is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against LSU on Saturday, October 10th.
South CarolinaQBLaNorris Sellers
1059 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
68.2180/729
DBKosci Barnes
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.4
- Coverage
- 91.8
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
91.93/2969
RBIsaiah Augustave
114 yds · 2 TD · 8.1 YPC
87.421/1044
LBJamian Risher Jr.
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.3249/1796
DBKendall Daniels Jr.
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.4
- Coverage
- 70.9
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 1
- Passer rating allowed
- 42.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
71.9333/2969
DBTriston Lewis
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.1
- Coverage
- 72.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
71.7346/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Dylan Stewart · DLout · 2026-09-20
Stewart is dealing with a back injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jayden Gibson · WRout · 2026-08-17
Gibson is batting with a lower body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Jayden Sellers · WRout · 2026-08-17
Sellers is fighting off a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Jacarrius Peak · OGQues. · 2026-10-08
Peak is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Florida on Saturday.
- Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy · DLQues. · 2026-10-08
Brownlow-Dindy is nursing with a upper body injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.
- Mazeo Bennett Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Florida on Saturday.
- Lucian Anderson III · QBQues. · 2026-10-08
Anderson III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MSSTMississippi State
SCSouth Carolina
vs
Offense
73.0
#89 of 138
QB
Quarterback
68.2
#110 of 138
89.0
#3 of 138
RB
Running backs
84.0
#14 of 138
75.4
#32 of 138
WR
Receivers
64.6
#132 of 138
64.6
#92 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#76 of 138
63.3
#113 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.7
#19 of 138
Defense
73.2
#66 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.9
#18 of 138
66.7
#126 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.0
#121 of 138
76.3
#22 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.2
#30 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Mississippi State
opponent
South Carolina
Hhome-2.6
OUOklahoma#19-8.6Aaway
Hhome-33.0
ALAAlabama#3-31.0Aaway