CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 12:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
VAN 7.0%93.0% UGA
Projected margin
UGA by 21.0
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
UGA 3 to UGA 40
Win probability
UGA 93.0%
FinalVAN 14 · UGA 38model had +21.0, off by 3.0

Current team profiles

Vanderbilt
Georgia

When Vanderbilt has the ball

Passing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN offense
#76
UGA defense
#49
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
0.08
#49
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN offense
#79
UGA defense
#5
EPA comparison
0.09
#79
-0.22
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN offense
#102
UGA defense
#27
Success rates
40%
#102
35%
#27
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#105
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
1.25
#57
1.23
#76
Explosiveness
16%
#101
19%
#24
Havoc

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN defense
#93
UGA offense
#3
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.62
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN defense
#81
UGA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.06
#81
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN defense
#97
UGA offense
#6
Success rates
43%
#97
52%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#92
0.40
#3
EPA / play
1.22
#72
1.28
#38
Explosiveness
15%
#83
12%
#24
Havoc

Current key players

Vanderbilt
QBWhit Muschamp
18 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
73.9121/729
TEMaurice Veney
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.9
Run blocking
78.6
Penalties
0
82.818/1017
SCJ Heard
40 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.9
Coverage
86.7
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
116
Passer rating allowed
121.1
Missed tackles
4
80.951/2969
SMason Lewis
20 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
83.7
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
72
Passer rating allowed
77.6
Missed tackles
3
79.274/2969
LBBryan Longwell
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.5
Coverage
65.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.7163/1796
SRicardo Jones
22 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
80.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
94.1
Missed tackles
5
75.1190/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Kahden Smith · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Smith has been out of the lineup due to a leg injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • J. Curtis · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Curtis is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.

Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

VAN
UGA
vs
Offense
73.9
#86 of 138
QB
92.5
#4 of 138
69.7
#123 of 138
RB
90.5
#2 of 138
66.9
#122 of 138
WR
82.8
#4 of 138
82.8
#18 of 138
TE
88.9
#4 of 138
61.2
#126 of 138
OL
75.5
#15 of 138
Defense
71.4
#92 of 138
DL
78.6
#20 of 138
69.4
#107 of 138
LB
81.2
#15 of 138
76.1
#24 of 138
DB
78.9
#5 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Vanderbilt
opponent
Georgia
H-35.0
MISS#14
+6.9A
A-6.0
AUB#42
+15.9H
A-4.0
FLA#22
+12.6N
H-13.4
ALA#3
+3.0A
H+12.5
ARK#71
+28.0A