Passing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ offense
- #19
- ARK defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Battle Line Trophy
Forecast win probability
MIZ 78.1%21.9% ARK
- Projected margin
- MIZ by 11.8
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- MIZ 30 to ARK 7
- Win probability
- MIZ 78.1%
Current team profiles
Missouri
ArkansasWhen Missouri has the ball
Rushing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ offense
- #72
- ARK defense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.20
#125
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ offense
- #79
- ARK defense
- #100
Success rates
43%
#79
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#46
0.17
#111
EPA / play
1.30
#30
1.16
#38
Explosiveness
16%
#93
13%
#111
Havoc
When Arkansas has the ball
Passing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ defense
- #38
- ARK offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ defense
- #29
- ARK offense
- #134
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
-0.11
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ defense
- #20
- ARK offense
- #96
Success rates
35%
#20
41%
#96
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#33
0.01
#120
EPA / play
1.34
#114
1.08
#129
Explosiveness
22%
#4
19%
#126
Havoc
Current key players
MissouriQBAustin Simmons
1270 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
88.428/729
WRCayden Lee
33 rec · 496 yds · 4 TD
91.35/2069
LBRobert Woodyard Jr.
32 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.5
- Coverage
- 55.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.5126/1796
CBJahlil Florence
6 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.7
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 9.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.7168/2969
SCJ Bass III
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.5210/2969
SSantana Banner
42 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 155
- Passer rating allowed
- 128.9
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.2218/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Cayden Green · OGout · 2026-09-20
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Gavin Hoffman · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Ahmad Hardy · RBout · 2026-09-11
Hardy is dealing with a leg injury, and and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Jabari Brady · WRout · 2026-09-20
Brady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Darris Smith · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against the Ole Miss on Saturday, October 17th.
ArkansasQBKJ Jackson
1038 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
64.0225/729
WRChris Marshall
35 rec · 517 yds · 2 TD
81.246/2069
LBBen Bogle
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.7
- Coverage
- 58.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.799/1796
DBShelton Lewis
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 45
- Passer rating allowed
- 64.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.584/2969
DBKhmori House
33 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.7
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 107
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.2266/2969
WRJelani Watkins
27 rush yds · 0 TD · 3 car
73.0164/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Maddox Lassiter · TEout · 2026-08-16
Lassiter has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an upper body injury.
- H. Hendrix · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hendrix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Commodores on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MIZMissouri
ARKArkansas
vs
Offense
88.4
#27 of 138
QB
Quarterback
64.0
#122 of 138
69.8
#121 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.0
#135 of 138
77.6
#19 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.9
#50 of 138
70.1
#63 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.8
#107 of 138
77.3
#9 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.3
#102 of 138
Defense
81.3
#11 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.4
#79 of 138
72.7
#81 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.2
#103 of 138
73.6
#49 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.2
#94 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Missouri
opponent
Arkansas
Hhome+21.0
TA&MTexas A&M#28-27.0Aaway
Hhome-2.6
TEXTexas#7-22.3Aaway
Aaway-12.1
UGAGeorgia#6-28.0Hhome