CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UGA 66.6%33.4% MISS
Projected margin
UGA by 6.9
Projected total
61
80% outcome range
UGA 25 to MISS 12
Win probability
UGA 66.6%

Current team profiles

Georgia
Ole Miss

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#3
MISS defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.62
#3
0.25
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#12
MISS defense
#102
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.13
#102
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#6
MISS defense
#114
Success rates
52%
#6
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.40
#3
0.15
#105
EPA / play
1.28
#38
1.17
#42
Explosiveness
12%
#24
16%
#65
Havoc

When Ole Miss has the ball

Passing

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#49
MISS offense
#15
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
0.45
#15
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#5
MISS offense
#42
EPA comparison
-0.22
#5
0.17
#42
Rush EPA

Drive success

MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#27
MISS offense
#4
Success rates
35%
#27
53%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.27
#26
EPA / play
1.23
#76
1.13
#115
Explosiveness
19%
#24
13%
#37
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Ole Miss
QBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.8
Run blocking
70.3
Penalties
1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UGA
MISS
vs
Offense
92.5
#4 of 138
QB
85.0
#40 of 138
90.5
#2 of 138
RB
70.9
#114 of 138
82.8
#4 of 138
WR
77.1
#25 of 138
88.9
#4 of 138
TE
79.4
#26 of 138
75.5
#15 of 138
OL
64.5
#100 of 138
Defense
78.6
#20 of 138
DL
73.0
#71 of 138
81.2
#15 of 138
LB
71.2
#94 of 138
78.9
#5 of 138
DB
69.9
#99 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia
opponent
Ole Miss
N+12.6
FLA#22
-24.0A
H+28.0
OU#19
-2.9A
H+24.0
VAN#58
+35.0A
H+12.1
MIZ#15
+2.5H
H+15.9
AUB#42
+6.4H