Passing
No comparison
- TNTC offense
- —
- MSST defense
- #75
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TNTC 0.4%99.6% MSST
- Projected margin
- MSST by 41.8
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- MSST 24 to MSST 60
- Win probability
- MSST 99.6%
Current team profiles
Tennessee Tech
Mississippi StateWhen Tennessee Tech has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- TNTC offense
- —
- MSST defense
- #73
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- TNTC offense
- #41
- MSST defense
- #78
Success rates
45%
#41
41%
#78
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#37
0.09
#88
EPA / play
0.23
#14
1.16
#40
Explosiveness
—
17%
#43
Havoc
When Mississippi State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- TNTC defense
- —
- MSST offense
- #19
EPA comparison
—
0.43
#19
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- TNTC defense
- —
- MSST offense
- #30
EPA comparison
—
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- TNTC defense
- #40
- MSST offense
- #29
Success rates
42%
#40
48%
#29
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#32
0.28
#24
EPA / play
0.18
#18
1.32
#27
Explosiveness
—
14%
#63
Havoc
Current key players
Tennessee TechQBJax Leatherwood
1447 yds · 15 TD · 3 INT
76.461/370
WRGabe Nunez
27 rec · 454 yds · 3 TD
86.65/1229
LBJosh Hand
10 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.019/1054
DLSeth Vaughn
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.9
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.460/1549
DLMcKenzie Hazzard
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 62
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.177/1549
RBAhmad Haston
50 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
75.775/631
Mississippi StateQBKamario Taylor
1450 yds · 17 TD · 4 INT
73.0130/729
RBJ.J. Hill
124 yds · 2 TD · 12.4 YPC
90.09/1044
CBJett Jefferson
25 tkl · 8 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.9
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 31
- Rec allowed
- 15
- Yards allowed
- 164
- Passer rating allowed
- 96.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.124/2969
WRAnthony Evans III
40 rec · 574 yds · 5 TD
82.834/2069
SJardin Gilbert
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 158.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.8100/2969
SIsaac Smith
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.3
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6171/2969
Availability reports · 4
- A. Williams · WRout · 2026-10-01
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unlikely to play Saturday against the Alabama.
- Trevion Williams · DLout · 2026-09-26
Williams is sidelined due to Leg injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Bull Mitchell · WRout · 2026-09-20
Mitchell is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Jamari Freeman · OGQues. · 2026-10-03
Freeman is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against LSU on Saturday, October 10th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TNTCTennessee Tech
MSSTMississippi State
vs
Offense
76.4
#47 of 125
QB
Quarterback
73.0
#89 of 138
75.2
#42 of 126
RB
Running backs
89.0
#3 of 138
74.8
#14 of 126
WR
Receivers
75.4
#32 of 138
64.4
#64 of 124
TE
Tight ends
64.6
#92 of 138
65.4
#51 of 125
OL
Offensive line
63.3
#113 of 138
Defense
76.1
#19 of 126
DL
Defensive line
73.2
#66 of 138
66.9
#106 of 126
LB
Linebackers
66.7
#126 of 138
69.3
#88 of 126
DB
Secondary
76.3
#22 of 138