Passing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UK offense
- #66
- MIZ defense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.06
#38
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UK 22.4%77.6% MIZ
- Projected margin
- MIZ by 11.9
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- UK 7 to MIZ 30
- Win probability
- MIZ 77.6%
Current team profiles
KentuckyMissouriWhen Kentucky has the ball
Rushing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UK offense
- #35
- MIZ defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
Same rank
- UK offense
- #20
- MIZ defense
- #20
Success rates
50%
#20
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#43
-0.02
#33
EPA / play
1.15
#106
1.34
#114
Explosiveness
13%
#39
22%
#4
Havoc
When Missouri has the ball
Passing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UK defense
- #60
- MIZ offense
- #19
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.43
#19
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UK defense
- #81
- MIZ offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.06
#81
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UK defense
- #109
- MIZ offense
- #79
Success rates
44%
#109
43%
#79
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#56
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.17
#44
1.30
#30
Explosiveness
18%
#36
16%
#93
Havoc
Current key players
KentuckyQBKenny Minchey
1148 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
63.0239/729
RBJason Patterson
355 yds · 3 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.228/1044
WRKenny Darby
25 rec · 322 yds · 3 TD
81.147/2069
TEElijah Brown
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.8
- Run blocking
- 78.1
- Penalties
- 0
80.524/1017
LBAntwan Smith
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9220/1796
LBSam Greene
17 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 66.7
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 68
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
73.6234/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Tovani Mizell · RBout · 2026-08-22
Mizell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Lincoln Watkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Sooners on Saturday, October
MissouriQBAustin Simmons
1270 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
88.428/729
WRCayden Lee
33 rec · 496 yds · 4 TD
91.35/2069
LBRobert Woodyard Jr.
32 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.5
- Coverage
- 55.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.5126/1796
CBJahlil Florence
6 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.7
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 9.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.7168/2969
SCJ Bass III
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.5210/2969
SSantana Banner
42 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 155
- Passer rating allowed
- 128.9
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.2218/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Cayden Green · OGout · 2026-09-20
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Gavin Hoffman · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Ahmad Hardy · RBout · 2026-09-11
Hardy is dealing with a leg injury, and and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Jabari Brady · WRout · 2026-09-20
Brady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Darris Smith · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against the Ole Miss on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UKKentucky
MIZMissouri
vs
Offense
63.0
#126 of 138
QB
Quarterback
88.4
#27 of 138
81.1
#30 of 138
RB
Running backs
69.8
#121 of 138
70.6
#75 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.6
#19 of 138
80.5
#24 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#63 of 138
74.5
#20 of 138
OL
Offensive line
77.3
#9 of 138
Defense
71.6
#90 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.3
#11 of 138
71.1
#95 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.7
#81 of 138
70.3
#92 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.6
#49 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Kentucky
opponent
Missouri
Hhome-3.4
FLAFlorida#22+28.0Hhome
Aaway-12.0
OUOklahoma#19+2.5Hhome
Aaway+10.0
TA&MTexas A&M#28+21.0Hhome