Passing
No comparison
- SEMO offense
- —
- ISU defense
- #79
EPA comparison
—
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SEMO 0.7%99.3% ISU
- Projected margin
- ISU by 39.5
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- ISU 19 to ISU 60
- Win probability
- ISU 99.3%
FinalSEMO 10 · ISU 38model had +39.5, off by 11.5
Current team profiles
Southeast Missouri State
Iowa StateWhen Southeast Missouri State has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- SEMO offense
- —
- ISU defense
- #63
EPA comparison
—
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SEMO offense
- #115
- ISU defense
- #73
Success rates
39%
#115
40%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#98
0.07
#75
EPA / play
0.20
#63
1.25
#86
Explosiveness
—
15%
#79
Havoc
When Iowa State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- SEMO defense
- —
- ISU offense
- #82
EPA comparison
—
0.17
#82
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- SEMO defense
- —
- ISU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SEMO defense
- #10
- ISU offense
- #111
Success rates
39%
#10
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#25
0.13
#79
EPA / play
0.19
#27
1.30
#31
Explosiveness
—
18%
#121
Havoc
Current key players
Southeast Missouri StateLBMatthew McAulay
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.1
- Coverage
- 61.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.154/1054
DBCyler Christmas
20 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.6
- Coverage
- 73.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.4101/1765
DLTimothy Maxson
16 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.5
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 109
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
75.9100/1549
LBKJ McRae
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.1
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.893/1054
DBNehemiah Scott
23 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 74.5
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 87.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
73.8201/1765
LBLJ Minner Jr.
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 66.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
73.4140/1054
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SEMOSoutheast Missouri State
ISUIowa State
vs
Offense
59.8
#113 of 125
QB
Quarterback
63.4
#124 of 138
67.4
#95 of 126
RB
Running backs
81.6
#25 of 138
66.5
#90 of 126
WR
Receivers
72.0
#63 of 138
55.5
#118 of 124
TE
Tight ends
59.6
#124 of 138
59.9
#112 of 125
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#51 of 138
Defense
70.8
#64 of 126
DL
Defensive line
78.3
#22 of 138
75.8
#23 of 126
LB
Linebackers
73.3
#77 of 138
72.4
#49 of 126
DB
Secondary
76.8
#19 of 138